Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 5–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is 1. FC Köln against Union Berlin on 27 October 2026 · 19:45 at RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne), and S. Jablonski will referee. 1. FC Köln (52%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Attack and defence. On average 1. FC Köln score 2.0 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.0; for Union Berlin the figures are 4.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. 1. FC Köln: 1W 0D 0L, goals 2–1; Union Berlin: 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–2.
- Head to head. From 22 meetings: 7 wins for 1. FC Köln, 10 wins for Union Berlin and 5 draws, with the goals at 30–28.
What to expect
For us, 1. FC Köln are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.6%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.56), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 59% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 58% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 22; 1. FC Köln 7 wins, 5 draws, Union Berlin 10 wins.
- An average of 2.6 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: 1. FC Köln 2–1, Union Berlin 4–2.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 58%.
- Out: 1. FC Köln 0, Union Berlin 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 59%, best price 1.62). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for 1. FC Köln: no absences. Absent for Union Berlin: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.84 | 3.94 | 4.75 |
| Market average | 1.78 | 3.69 | 4.17 |
| Lowest odds | 1.70 | 3.32 | 3.49 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.17 | 79.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.62 | 58.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.36 | 2.25 | 41.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.49 | 37.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.57 | 59.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.35 | 2.26 | 41.0% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: 1. FC Köln 1–1 Union Berlin, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: 1. FC Köln 1W 0D 0L (2:1), Union Berlin 1W 0D 0L (4:2).
- H2H: 22 matches: 1. FC Köln 7W 5D 10L, goals 30–28.
- Absences: 1. FC Köln 0, Union Berlin 0.
Who will win 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin: team news and absences
1. FC Köln
- No reported absences
Union Berlin
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
1. FC KölnWUnion BerlinWHead to head
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin?
Union Berlin +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Under 3.5 goals (1.56).
Who will win 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin?
We estimate: 1. FC Köln win 52%, draw 25%, Union Berlin win 22%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 27 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne. Referee: S. Jablonski.
Who will be missing?
1. FC Köln: no absences. Union Berlin: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.65); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 42% (odds 2.36).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 59% (odds 1.62).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.6%), then 2–1 (9.8%) and 1–0 (9.2%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.