Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen: 27 October 2026 · 19:45 at Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund), with R. Schröder refereeing. We have Borussia Dortmund (68%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Attack and defence. On average Borussia Dortmund score 5.0 goals a match in the competition and concede 0.0; for Werder Bremen the figures are 3.0 scored and 0.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Borussia Dortmund: 1W 0D 0L, goals 5–0; Werder Bremen: 1W 0D 0L, goals 3–0.
- Head to head. From 34 meetings: 22 wins for Borussia Dortmund, 5 wins for Werder Bremen and 7 draws, with the goals at 75–42.
What to expect
For us, Borussia Dortmund are the more likely winners. We estimate a 3–1 score, roughly 4 goals in all, with 2–1 (9.2%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.55), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 62% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 71% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 34; Borussia Dortmund 22 wins, 7 draws, Werder Bremen 5 wins.
- An average of 3.4 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Borussia Dortmund 5–0, Werder Bremen 3–0.
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 71%.
- Out: Borussia Dortmund 0, Werder Bremen 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 62%, best price 1.55). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Borussia Dortmund: no absences. Absent for Werder Bremen: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.43 | 5.50 | 7.10 |
| Market average | 1.39 | 5.13 | 6.60 |
| Lowest odds | 1.30 | 4.43 | 5.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.08 | 86.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.32 | 70.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.22 | 29.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.85 | 51.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.49 | 62.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.46 | 37.7% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.0%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Borussia Dortmund 2–1 Werder Bremen, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: Borussia Dortmund 1W 0D 0L (5:0), Werder Bremen 1W 0D 0L (3:0).
- H2H: 34 matches: Borussia Dortmund 22W 7D 5L, goals 75–42.
- Absences: Borussia Dortmund 0, Werder Bremen 0.
Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: team news and absences
Borussia Dortmund
- No reported absences
Werder Bremen
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Borussia DortmundWWerder BremenWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
Over 3.5 goals (1.95); Borussia Dortmund to win (1.43).
Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
We estimate: Borussia Dortmund win 68%, draw 18%, Werder Bremen win 14%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 27 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund. Referee: R. Schröder.
Who will be missing?
Borussia Dortmund: no absences. Werder Bremen: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 71% (odds 1.38); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 29% (odds 3.40).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 62% (odds 1.55).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (9.2%), then 2–0 (8.0%) and 3–1 (7.9%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.