Coupe de France
Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Dunkerque vs Quevilly (Coupe de France, 14 November 2026, 17:00): Dunkerque -0.75 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.87. Second tip: Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.55. The bookmakers' odds give Dunkerque 57%, the draw 23% and Quevilly 20%. The most likely score is 2–1.
Wins: Dunkerque win by 2 or more. Half wins (half the stake back): Dunkerque win by 1. Loses: a draw, Dunkerque lose.
Dunkerque vs Quevilly betting prediction
Our tip for the 1/128-finals of the Coupe de France on 14 November 2026 is Dunkerque -0.75 on the Asian handicap at odds 1.87, with a chance of 53%. The match kicks off at 17:00 at the Stade Marcel Tribut in Dunkerque, which holds 4933. We also like Over 2.5 goals at odds 1.55, a chance of 61%, as a second bet.
At a glance
- Likely result: Dunkerque 2–1 Quevilly, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Absences: Dunkerque 0, Quevilly 0.
Dunkerque's recent results and where they leave them
Dunkerque have won two of their last five matches in all competitions, drawn one and lost two. They have scored seven goals and conceded five. The most recent result was a 3-0 home win over Guingamp, and that is the form we are happiest to lean on, even if the two defeats in the same run keep us from getting carried away.
Quevilly's five matches read 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost, with seven goals scored and eight conceded. Their latest game, a 2-0 win at Villefranche, shows they can take points away from home. We are not convinced that is enough to make them the side to back in a cup tie on the road.
Who will win Dunkerque vs Quevilly?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Why the handicap rather than the straight win
The bookmakers make Dunkerque 57% to win the match at best odds of 1.72, and we agree that the home side are the better bet. We simply think the handicap expresses that view more sensibly. Our tip is Dunkerque -0.75, and the stake is split: half goes on Dunkerque -1 and half on Dunkerque -0.5. At -1 Dunkerque must win by two or more goals, and a win by exactly one returns that half of the stake. At -0.5 Dunkerque must win by one or more.
The bookmakers give this handicap a 53% chance at best odds of 1.87. We would back it for three reasons:
- The bookmakers put the handicap at a 53% chance, which is the number we are working from.
- At best odds of 1.87, the price is one we can actually back rather than one we merely admire.
- The split stake means a narrow home win still returns part of our money, which suits a cup tie that could go either way on the day.
The likeliest scores are the test. A 2-0 or 3-0 home win wins the whole stake, and so does 3-1. A 2-1 or a 1-0 home win pays half the stake back, while a 1-1 draw loses. We are comfortable with that spread, but we would not push the stake hard on it, because a Dunkerque side that concedes goals in a cup tie gives the handicap very little room.
Goals, both teams and the over
The expected goals figures give Dunkerque 2 and Quevilly 1, which makes about three goals in total. That is the reason behind our second tip. Over 2.5 goals at odds 1.55 is the bet we like most after the handicap, and the expected total of about three goals is the argument for it.
The likeliest scores are 2-1 at 9.9%, 1-1 at 9.9% and 2-0 at 8.6%. Over 2.5 wins on a 2-1 or 3-1 or 3-0, but it loses on a 2-0, a 1-0 or a 1-1. That makes it a real bet rather than a banker, and we would treat it as such. Both teams to score is priced at 59% at best odds of 1.62, and we would pass on it, because a clean Dunkerque win by two goals kills the market straight away.
Dunkerque vs Quevilly: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.72 | 4.30 | 5.07 |
| Market average | 1.63 | 3.99 | 4.66 |
| Lowest odds | 1.60 | 3.80 | 4.31 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.14 | 81.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.55 | 1.51 | 60.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.44 | 2.33 | 39.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.26 | 41.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.55 | 59.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.30 | 40.3% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 13/11/26, 18:13. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.9%.
Dunkerque vs Quevilly: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
No head-to-head history to lean on
There is no earlier meeting between these two clubs that we know of. We are not going to invent a rivalry or a pattern from a fixture that does not exist in our data. Our view rests on current form and the prices, and on the match-up of Dunkerque's attack against a Quevilly side that has conceded eight in its last five.
Both squads: no absences reported
No absences have been reported for either side. For a cup tie that is useful, because a late change in the starting eleven can undo a handicap bet quickly. We are working on the basis that both teams will field their strongest selection.
Dunkerque vs Quevilly: last matches of both teams
Dunkerque
Quevilly
Dunkerque vs Quevilly: team news and absences
Dunkerque
- No reported absences
Quevilly
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Other bets we would consider
If you want something safer than the handicap, Dunkerque or draw (1X) at odds 1.21, with a chance of 80%, is one of the shortest prices on the page and the one we would pick for a cautious stake. It only needs Dunkerque not to lose, so it keeps the bet alive through a stalemate. Quevilly +2 on the Asian handicap at odds 1.27, a chance of 76%, is the other route we like for those who think the home side will not win well. It wins unless Quevilly lose by three or more, and a defeat by exactly two returns the stake. Neither bet sits against our two tips, and both come with a shorter price than the handicap, so the return is smaller but the cover is wider.
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Why we keep the stake measured
Dunkerque are the side we trust on the form and on the prices, and the goals line backs up a home win with about three goals in total. The handicap gives us the most sensible way to express that view, and the over is the second half of the same story. We would keep both stakes sensible, because cup ties rarely follow the script the numbers suggest.
Returns calculator
Match events
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Dunkerque vs Quevilly?
Dunkerque -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.87); Over 2.5 goals (1.55).
Who will win Dunkerque vs Quevilly?
We estimate: Dunkerque win 57%, draw 23%, Quevilly win 20%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 14 November 2026, kick-off: 17:00, venue: Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkerque.
Who will be missing?
Dunkerque: no absences. Quevilly: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.55); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 39% (odds 2.44).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 60% (odds 1.57).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (9.9%), then 1–1 (9.9%) and 2–0 (8.6%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.