Danish Cup
Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Esbjerg play FC Nordsjælland at home on 28 October 2026 · 16:00 at Blue Water Arena (Esbjerg); the referee is S. Putros. For us, FC Nordsjælland (64%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Esbjerg vs FC Nordsjælland: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Attack and defence. On average Esbjerg score 5.3 goals a match in the competition and concede 0.3; for FC Nordsjælland the figures are 3.0 scored and 0.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Esbjerg: 3W 0D 0L, goals 16–1; FC Nordsjælland: 1W 0D 0L, goals 3–0.
What to expect
For us, FC Nordsjælland are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–2 (9.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 57% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 64% chance.
Prediction summary
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Esbjerg 16–1, FC Nordsjælland 3–0.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 64%.
- Out: Esbjerg 0, FC Nordsjælland 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 57%, best price 1.67). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Esbjerg: no absences. Absent for FC Nordsjælland: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Esbjerg vs FC Nordsjælland: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 6.67 | 5.00 | 1.50 |
| Market average | 5.85 | 4.56 | 1.43 |
| Lowest odds | 5.40 | 4.20 | 1.38 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.12 | 83.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.45 | 63.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.70 | 2.57 | 36.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.21 | 2.16 | 43.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.61 | 57.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.16 | 42.7% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 28/10/26, 12:53. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 9.3%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Esbjerg 1–2 FC Nordsjælland, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: Esbjerg 3W 0D 0L (16:1), FC Nordsjælland 1W 0D 0L (3:0).
- Absences: Esbjerg 0, FC Nordsjælland 0.
Who will win Esbjerg vs FC Nordsjælland?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Esbjerg vs FC Nordsjælland: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Esbjerg vs FC Nordsjælland: team news and absences
Esbjerg
- No reported absences
FC Nordsjælland
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
EsbjergWWWFC NordsjællandWReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Esbjerg vs FC Nordsjælland?
FC Nordsjælland -1 (Asian handicap) (1.75); Over 2.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win Esbjerg vs FC Nordsjælland?
We estimate: Esbjerg win 16%, draw 20%, FC Nordsjælland win 64%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 28 October 2026, kick-off: 16:00, venue: Blue Water Arena, Esbjerg. Referee: S. Putros.
Who will be missing?
Esbjerg: no absences. FC Nordsjælland: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 64% (odds 1.50); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 36% (odds 2.70).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 57% (odds 1.67).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–2 as most likely (9.8%), then 0–2 (9.3%) and 1–1 (8.7%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.