EFL Cup
Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Everton against Newcastle on 29 October 2026 · 19:45 at Hill Dickinson Stadium (Liverpool), and F. Hallam will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Everton vs Newcastle: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Attack and defence. On average Everton score 2.5 goals a match in the competition and concede 0.0; for Newcastle the figures are 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Everton: 2W 0D 0L, goals 5–0; Newcastle: 2W 0D 0L, goals 4–2.
- Head to head. From 33 meetings: 18 wins for Everton, 10 wins for Newcastle and 5 draws, with the goals at 54–41.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–1 score estimate, roughly 3 goals in all, and 1–1 (11.5%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 61% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 57% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 33; Everton 18 wins, 5 draws, Newcastle 10 wins.
- An average of 2.9 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Everton 5–0, Newcastle 4–2.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 57%.
- Out: Everton 0, Newcastle 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 61%, best price 1.55). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Everton: no absences. Absent for Newcastle: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Everton vs Newcastle: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.44 | 3.56 | 3.15 |
| Market average | 2.34 | 3.46 | 2.94 |
| Lowest odds | 2.21 | 3.22 | 2.73 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.20 | 77.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.72 | 1.67 | 56.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.25 | 2.19 | 43.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.77 | 2.62 | 35.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.53 | 60.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.37 | 39.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 29/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.9%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Everton 1–1 Newcastle, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: Everton 2W 0D 0L (5:0), Newcastle 2W 0D 0L (4:2).
- H2H: 33 matches: Everton 18W 5D 10L, goals 54–41.
- Absences: Everton 0, Newcastle 0.
Who will win Everton vs Newcastle?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Everton vs Newcastle: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Everton vs Newcastle: team news and absences
Everton
- No reported absences
Newcastle
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
EvertonWWNewcastleWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Everton vs Newcastle?
Newcastle +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.86); Under 3.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win Everton vs Newcastle?
We estimate: Everton win 40%, draw 27%, Newcastle win 32%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 29 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool. Referee: F. Hallam.
Who will be missing?
Everton: no absences. Newcastle: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.72); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 43% (odds 2.25).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 61% (odds 1.55).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.5%), then 2–1 (8.9%) and 1–0 (8.5%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.