KNVB Cup
Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Excelsior '31 against ADO Den Haag on 27 October 2026 · 17:45 at Sportpark De Koerbelt (Rijssen), and C. Ruperti will referee. ADO Den Haag (79%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
What to expect
For us, ADO Den Haag are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–3 score, roughly 4 goals in all, with 0–2 (9.3%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
Odds of 1.22 on the result do not offer much, so it is worth turning to the goals markets: Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.73), which we rate at 55%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 54% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 74% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 74%.
- Out: Excelsior '31 0, ADO Den Haag 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 54%, best price 1.80). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Excelsior '31: no absences. Absent for ADO Den Haag: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 13.50 | 8.00 | 1.22 |
| Market average | 11.92 | 7.06 | 1.17 |
| Lowest odds | 9.50 | 6.30 | 1.11 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.07 | 1.05 | 88.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.24 | 74.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.80 | 3.59 | 25.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.73 | 1.67 | 55.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.70 | 54.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.02 | 45.7% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 27/10/26, 17:25. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Excelsior '31 0–2 ADO Den Haag, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Absences: Excelsior '31 0, ADO Den Haag 0.
Who will win Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag: team news and absences
Excelsior '31
- No reported absences
ADO Den Haag
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Excelsior '31WWADO Den HaagReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag?
ADO Den Haag -1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.62); Over 3.5 goals (1.73).
Who will win Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag?
We estimate: Excelsior '31 win 8%, draw 13%, ADO Den Haag win 79%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 27 October 2026, kick-off: 17:45, venue: Sportpark De Koerbelt, Rijssen. Referee: C. Ruperti.
Who will be missing?
Excelsior '31: no absences. ADO Den Haag: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 74% (odds 1.28); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 26% (odds 3.80).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 54% (odds 1.80).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 0–2 as most likely (9.3%), then 0–3 (9.1%) and 1–2 (8.3%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.