Premier League
Home › Predictions › FC Porto vs Académico Viseu
Taça da Liga · quarter-final · 28 October 2026 · 20:30

FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: prediction, tip and odds, 28 October 2026, Taça da Liga

1FC Porto1.36
XDraw5.10
2Académico Viseu8.89

Best price · Updated 28/10/26, 18:00

FreshbetBet with Freshbet →
TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

It is FC Porto against Académico Viseu on 28 October 2026 · 20:30 at Estádio Do Dragão (Porto), and S. Guelho will referee. FC Porto (70%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.

FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: tip and prediction
Handicap
Académico Viseu +1.5 (Asian handicap)
1.88
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.51
Combo
FC Porto + over 2.5 goals combined
2.16
46% · fair odds for the combo
53%Chance
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: FC Porto or draw (1X): 89% probability, best odds 1.07.

Bet now →

FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Head to head. From 6 meetings: 5 wins for FC Porto, 0 wins for Académico Viseu and 1 draw, with the goals at 14–3.

What to expect

For us, FC Porto are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–0 (12.7%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51), and we rate it at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 47% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 57% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 6; FC Porto 5 wins, 1 draw, Académico Viseu 0 wins.
  2. An average of 2.8 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 57%.
  4. Out: FC Porto 0, Académico Viseu 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals (probability 57%, best price 1.67). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for FC Porto: no absences. Absent for Académico Viseu: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price1.365.108.89
Market average1.344.978.43
Lowest odds1.334.807.90
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.211.1978.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.671.6557.2%
Under 2.5 goals2.302.2142.8%
Over 3.5 goals2.632.5736.2%
BTTS – yes2.001.9547.4%
BTTS – no1.781.7652.6%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 28/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.7%.

All bookmakers →

At a glance

  • Likely result: FC Porto 2–0 Académico Viseu, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 6 matches: FC Porto 5W 1D 0L, goals 14–3.
  • Absences: FC Porto 0, Académico Viseu 0.

Who will win FC Porto vs Académico Viseu?

FC Porto70%
Draw19%
Académico Viseu11%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: more betting tips

FC Porto or draw (1X)88.9% · fair odds 1.13 · best 1.07
Likely
Over 1.5 goals78.5% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.21
Likely
FC Porto to win70.0% · fair odds 1.43 · best 1.36
Likely
Under 3.5 goals63.8% · fair odds 1.57 · best 1.51
Likely
Over 2.5 goals57.2% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.67
Possible
BTTS – no52.6% · fair odds 1.90 · best 1.78
Possible
BTTS – yes47.4% · fair odds 2.11 · best 2.00
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals42.8% · fair odds 2.33 · best 2.30
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals36.2% · fair odds 2.76 · best 2.63
Outsider
Draw18.9% · fair odds 5.30 · best 5.10
Outsider
Académico Viseu to win11.1% · fair odds 8.98 · best 8.89
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.92 · Under 1.82
probability of over 48.5%

Correct score prediction

2 : 012.7%
1 : 011.5%
2 : 19.5%
3 : 09.3%
1 : 18.6%
3 : 17.0%

FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: team news and absences

FC Porto

  • No reported absences

Académico Viseu

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Team comparison

FC PortoAcadémico Viseu
100%Head to head0%
87%Goals13%
87.0%Overall13.0%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Head to head

All matches
5FC Porto
1Draws
0Académico Viseu
29/8/26 · Académico Viseu 0–3 FC Porto
8/2/23 · Académico Viseu 0–1 FC Porto
25/1/23 · FC Porto 3–0 Académico Viseu
17/7/21 · FC Porto 3–2 Académico Viseu
12/2/20 · FC Porto 3–0 Académico Viseu
4/2/20 · Académico Viseu 1–1 FC Porto

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.7%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for FC Porto vs Académico Viseu?

Académico Viseu +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Under 3.5 goals (1.51).

Who will win FC Porto vs Académico Viseu?

We estimate: FC Porto win 70%, draw 19%, Académico Viseu win 11%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 28 October 2026, kick-off: 20:30, venue: Estádio Do Dragão, Porto. Referee: S. Guelho.

Who will be missing?

FC Porto: no absences. Académico Viseu: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.67); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 43% (odds 2.30).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 47% (odds 2.00).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 2–0 as most likely (12.7%), then 1–0 (11.5%) and 2–1 (9.5%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.