EFL Cup
Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Fleetwood Town against Arsenal on 27 October 2026 · 20:00 at Highbury Stadium (Fleetwood), and M. Salisbury will referee. Arsenal (89%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Attack and defence. On average Fleetwood Town score 2.0 goals a match in the competition and concede 0.0; for Arsenal the figures are 4.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Fleetwood Town: 3W 0D 0L, goals 6–0; Arsenal: 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–2.
What to expect
For us, Arsenal are the more likely winners. We estimate a 0–3 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 0–3 (13.5%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
Odds of 1.10 on the result do not offer much, so it is worth turning to the goals markets: BTTS: no (odds 1.50), which we rate at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 36% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 73% chance.
Prediction summary
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Fleetwood Town 6–0, Arsenal 4–2.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 73%.
- Out: Fleetwood Town 0, Arsenal 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – no
Alternative tip: BTTS – no (probability 64%, best price 1.50). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Fleetwood Town: no absences. Absent for Arsenal: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 40.00 | 15.00 | 1.10 |
| Market average | 30.26 | 12.35 | 1.07 |
| Lowest odds | 14.44 | 7.91 | 1.03 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.10 | 1.07 | 87.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.29 | 72.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.44 | 27.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.75 | 53.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.70 | 2.58 | 36.0% |
| BTTS – no | 1.50 | 1.45 | 64.0% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Fleetwood Town 0–3 Arsenal, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: Fleetwood Town 3W 0D 0L (6:0), Arsenal 1W 0D 0L (4:2).
- Absences: Fleetwood Town 0, Arsenal 0.
Who will win Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: team news and absences
Fleetwood Town
- No reported absences
Arsenal
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Fleetwood TownWWWArsenalWReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal?
Over 3.5 goals (1.80); Arsenal to win (1.10).
Who will win Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal?
We estimate: Fleetwood Town win 3%, draw 8%, Arsenal win 89%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 27 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood. Referee: M. Salisbury.
Who will be missing?
Fleetwood Town: no absences. Arsenal: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 73% (odds 1.32); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 27% (odds 3.60).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 36% (odds 2.70).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 0–3 as most likely (13.5%), then 0–2 (12.4%) and 0–4 (10.9%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.