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DFB-Pokal · round of 32 · 27 October 2026 · 17:00

Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt: prediction, tip and odds, 27 October 2026, DFB-Pokal

1Hamburger SV3.57
XDraw3.95
2Eintracht Frankfurt2.18

Best price · Updated 27/10/26, 16:22

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Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Hamburger SV play Eintracht Frankfurt at home on 27 October 2026 · 17:00 at Volksparkstadion (Hamburg); the referee is T. Stieler. For us, Eintracht Frankfurt (46%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.

Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt: tip and prediction
Handicap
Hamburger SV +0.5 (Asian handicap)
1.90
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.47
53%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Eintracht Frankfurt (X2): 71% probability, best odds 1.36.

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Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Attack and defence. On average Hamburger SV score 3.0 goals a match in the competition and concede 0.0; for Eintracht Frankfurt the figures are 11.0 scored and 0.0 conceded.
  2. Form in the competition. Hamburger SV: 1W 0D 0L, goals 3–0; Eintracht Frankfurt: 1W 0D 0L, goals 11–0.
  3. Head to head. From 18 meetings: 3 wins for Hamburger SV, 9 wins for Eintracht Frankfurt and 6 draws, with the goals at 17–29.

What to expect

For us, Eintracht Frankfurt are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (9.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), and we rate it at 65%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 67% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 65% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 18; Hamburger SV 3 wins, 6 draws, Eintracht Frankfurt 9 wins.
  2. An average of 2.6 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Hamburger SV 3–0, Eintracht Frankfurt 11–0.
  4. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 65%.
  5. Out: Hamburger SV 0, Eintracht Frankfurt 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 55%, best price 1.78). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Hamburger SV: no absences. Absent for Eintracht Frankfurt: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price3.573.952.18
Market average3.193.692.03
Lowest odds2.903.401.91
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.141.1183.9%
Over 2.5 goals1.471.4365.4%
Under 2.5 goals2.872.6934.6%
Over 3.5 goals2.142.0944.9%
BTTS – yes1.401.3966.7%
BTTS – no2.882.7833.3%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 27/10/26, 16:22. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.9%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Hamburger SV 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Form in the competition: Hamburger SV 1W 0D 0L (3:0), Eintracht Frankfurt 1W 0D 0L (11:0).
  • H2H: 18 matches: Hamburger SV 3W 6D 9L, goals 17–29.
  • Absences: Hamburger SV 0, Eintracht Frankfurt 0.

Who will win Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Hamburger SV29%
Draw25%
Eintracht Frankfurt46%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals83.9% · fair odds 1.19 · best 1.14
Likely
Draw or Eintracht Frankfurt (X2)70.9% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.36
Likely
BTTS – yes66.7% · fair odds 1.50 · best 1.40
Likely
Over 2.5 goals65.4% · fair odds 1.53 · best 1.47
Likely
Under 3.5 goals55.1% · fair odds 1.81 · best 1.78
Possible
Eintracht Frankfurt to win45.7% · fair odds 2.19 · best 2.18
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals44.9% · fair odds 2.23 · best 2.14
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals34.6% · fair odds 2.89 · best 2.87
Outsider
BTTS – no33.3% · fair odds 3.00 · best 2.88
Outsider
Hamburger SV to win29.1% · fair odds 3.43 · best 3.57
Outsider
Draw25.2% · fair odds 3.97 · best 3.95
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.72 · Under 2.02
probability of over 54.0%

Correct score prediction

1 : 19.9%
1 : 29.2%
2 : 17.2%
0 : 16.8%
2 : 26.6%
0 : 26.3%

Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt: team news and absences

Hamburger SV

  • No reported absences

Eintracht Frankfurt

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Team comparison

Hamburger SVEintracht Frankfurt
50%Form50%
21%Attack79%
38%Head to head62%
36%Goals64%
36.3%Overall63.8%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

Hamburger SVW
Eintracht FrankfurtW

Head to head

All matches
3Hamburger SV
6Draws
9Eintracht Frankfurt
1/11/26 · Eintracht Frankfurt 3–1 Hamburger SV
27/10/26 · Hamburger SV 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt
2/5/26 · Eintracht Frankfurt 1–2 Hamburger SV
20/12/25 · Hamburger SV 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt
5/5/18 · Eintracht Frankfurt 3–0 Hamburger SV
12/12/17 · Hamburger SV 1–2 Eintracht Frankfurt

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.9%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Hamburger SV +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Over 2.5 goals (1.47).

Who will win Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

We estimate: Hamburger SV win 29%, draw 25%, Eintracht Frankfurt win 46%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 27 October 2026, kick-off: 17:00, venue: Volksparkstadion, Hamburg. Referee: T. Stieler.

Who will be missing?

Hamburger SV: no absences. Eintracht Frankfurt: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 65% (odds 1.47); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 35% (odds 2.87).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 67% (odds 1.40).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (9.9%), then 1–2 (9.2%) and 2–1 (7.2%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.