KNVB Cup
Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Helmond Sport against Willem II on 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at MySteel Stadion (Helmond), and M. Vos will referee. Willem II (47%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Helmond Sport vs Willem II: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
What to expect
For us, Willem II are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.4%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 64% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 62% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 62%.
- Out: Helmond Sport 0, Willem II 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 64%, best price 1.50). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Helmond Sport: no absences. Absent for Willem II: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Helmond Sport vs Willem II: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.60 | 3.80 | 2.06 |
| Market average | 3.34 | 3.64 | 1.95 |
| Lowest odds | 2.90 | 3.28 | 1.87 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.13 | 81.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 | 1.48 | 62.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.43 | 37.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.25 | 2.23 | 41.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.45 | 63.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.56 | 2.53 | 36.5% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.9%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Helmond Sport 1–1 Willem II, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Absences: Helmond Sport 0, Willem II 0.
Who will win Helmond Sport vs Willem II?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Helmond Sport vs Willem II: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Helmond Sport vs Willem II: team news and absences
Helmond Sport
- No reported absences
Willem II
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Helmond Sport vs Willem II?
Helmond Sport or draw (1X) (1.85); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win Helmond Sport vs Willem II?
We estimate: Helmond Sport win 28%, draw 25%, Willem II win 47%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 27 October 2026, kick-off: 19:00, venue: MySteel Stadion, Helmond. Referee: M. Vos.
Who will be missing?
Helmond Sport: no absences. Willem II: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.53); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 38% (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 64% (odds 1.50).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.4%), then 1–2 (9.4%) and 0–1 (7.7%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.