Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Holstein Kiel v 1899 Hoffenheim: 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at Holstein-Stadion (Kiel), with B. Dankert refereeing. We have 1899 Hoffenheim (64%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Attack and defence. On average Holstein Kiel score 2.0 goals a match in the competition and concede 0.0; for 1899 Hoffenheim the figures are 4.0 scored and 0.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Holstein Kiel: 1W 0D 0L, goals 2–0; 1899 Hoffenheim: 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–0.
- Head to head. From 4 meetings: 0 wins for Holstein Kiel, 4 wins for 1899 Hoffenheim and 0 draws, with the goals at 5–14.
What to expect
For us, 1899 Hoffenheim are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–2 (9.4%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.98), and we rate it at 50%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 64% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 70% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 4; Holstein Kiel 0 wins, 0 draws, 1899 Hoffenheim 4 wins.
- An average of 4.8 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Holstein Kiel 2–0, 1899 Hoffenheim 4–0.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 70%.
- Out: Holstein Kiel 0, 1899 Hoffenheim 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 50%, best price 1.91). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Holstein Kiel: no absences. Absent for 1899 Hoffenheim: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 6.00 | 4.97 | 1.50 |
| Market average | 5.80 | 4.68 | 1.48 |
| Lowest odds | 5.70 | 4.33 | 1.45 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.11 | 1.08 | 86.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.34 | 70.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.15 | 29.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.98 | 1.88 | 50.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.44 | 64.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.62 | 2.59 | 35.8% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 28/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.1%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Holstein Kiel 1–2 1899 Hoffenheim, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: Holstein Kiel 1W 0D 0L (2:0), 1899 Hoffenheim 1W 0D 0L (4:0).
- H2H: 4 matches: Holstein Kiel 0W 0D 4L, goals 5–14.
- Absences: Holstein Kiel 0, 1899 Hoffenheim 0.
Who will win Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim: team news and absences
Holstein Kiel
- No reported absences
1899 Hoffenheim
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Holstein KielW1899 HoffenheimWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
Over 3.5 goals (1.98); 1899 Hoffenheim to win (1.50).
Who will win Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
We estimate: Holstein Kiel win 16%, draw 20%, 1899 Hoffenheim win 64%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 28 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Holstein-Stadion, Kiel. Referee: B. Dankert.
Who will be missing?
Holstein Kiel: no absences. 1899 Hoffenheim: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 70% (odds 1.38); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 30% (odds 3.40).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 64% (odds 1.44).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–2 as most likely (9.4%), then 1–1 (7.9%) and 0–2 (7.9%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.