Danish Cup
Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Roskilde v Aarhus: 28 October 2026 · 19:00, with S. Funder refereeing. We have Aarhus (68%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Roskilde vs Aarhus: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Attack and defence. On average Roskilde score 4.0 goals a match in the competition and concede 0.3; for Aarhus the figures are 6.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Roskilde: 3W 0D 0L, goals 12–1; Aarhus: 1W 0D 0L, goals 6–1.
What to expect
For us, Aarhus are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 0–2 (10.3%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 53% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 62% chance.
Prediction summary
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Roskilde 12–1, Aarhus 6–1.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 62%.
- Out: Roskilde 0, Aarhus 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, best price 1.58). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Roskilde: no absences. Absent for Aarhus: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Roskilde vs Aarhus: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 6.70 | 5.50 | 1.38 |
| Market average | 6.60 | 5.10 | 1.38 |
| Lowest odds | 6.50 | 4.70 | 1.38 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.13 | 81.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.48 | 62.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.50 | 2.43 | 38.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.27 | 2.26 | 41.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.75 | 53.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.01 | 1.98 | 46.9% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 28/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.3%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Roskilde 0–2 Aarhus, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: Roskilde 3W 0D 0L (12:1), Aarhus 1W 0D 0L (6:1).
- Absences: Roskilde 0, Aarhus 0.
Who will win Roskilde vs Aarhus?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Roskilde vs Aarhus: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Roskilde vs Aarhus: team news and absences
Roskilde
- No reported absences
Aarhus
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
RoskildeWWWAarhusWReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Roskilde vs Aarhus?
Roskilde +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.80); Over 2.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win Roskilde vs Aarhus?
We estimate: Roskilde win 14%, draw 18%, Aarhus win 68%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 28 October 2026, kick-off: 19:00, venue: to be confirmed. Referee: S. Funder.
Who will be missing?
Roskilde: no absences. Aarhus: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.50); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 38% (odds 2.50).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 53% (odds 1.80).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 0–2 as most likely (10.3%), then 1–2 (9.8%) and 0–1 (9.2%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.