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DFB-Pokal · round of 32 · 27 October 2026 · 17:00

Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig: prediction, tip and odds, 27 October 2026, DFB-Pokal

Rot-Weiß Essen
W
1–2
1Rot-Weiß Essen14.14
XDraw8.50
2RB Leipzig1.21

Best price · Updated 27/10/26, 16:22

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Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Rot-Weiß Essen play RB Leipzig at home on 27 October 2026 · 17:00 at Stadion an der Hafenstraße (Essen); the referee is F. Exner. For us, RB Leipzig (80%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.

Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig: tip and prediction
Handicap
RB Leipzig -2 (Asian handicap)
1.80
Goals
Over 3.5 goals
1.73
Combo
RB Leipzig + over 2.5 goals combined
1.55
64% · fair odds for the combo
55%Chance
0–2likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or RB Leipzig (X2): 92% probability, best odds 1.06. With short odds on the result, a goals tip alongside it is our suggestion.

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Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Attack and defence. On average Rot-Weiß Essen score 2.0 goals a match in the competition and concede 0.0; for RB Leipzig the figures are 6.0 scored and 0.0 conceded.
  2. Form in the competition. Rot-Weiß Essen: 1W 0D 0L, goals 2–0; RB Leipzig: 1W 0D 0L, goals 6–0.
  3. Head to head. From 2 meetings: 0 wins for Rot-Weiß Essen, 2 wins for RB Leipzig and 0 draws, with the goals at 2–6.

What to expect

For us, RB Leipzig are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–3 score, roughly 4 goals in all, with 0–2 (9.6%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

Odds of 1.21 on the result do not offer much, so it is worth turning to the goals markets: Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.73), which we rate at 56%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 54% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 74% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 2; Rot-Weiß Essen 0 wins, 0 draws, RB Leipzig 2 wins.
  2. An average of 4.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Rot-Weiß Essen 2–0, RB Leipzig 6–0.
  4. Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 74%.
  5. Out: Rot-Weiß Essen 0, RB Leipzig 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 54%, best price 1.74). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Rot-Weiß Essen: no absences. Absent for RB Leipzig: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price14.148.501.21
Market average12.237.711.16
Lowest odds9.456.381.13
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.101.0687.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.281.2474.4%
Under 2.5 goals3.823.6225.6%
Over 3.5 goals1.731.6855.6%
BTTS – yes1.741.7253.9%
BTTS – no2.052.0146.1%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 27/10/26, 16:22. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.9%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Rot-Weiß Essen 0–2 RB Leipzig, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Form in the competition: Rot-Weiß Essen 1W 0D 0L (2:0), RB Leipzig 1W 0D 0L (6:0).
  • H2H: 2 matches: Rot-Weiß Essen 0W 0D 2L, goals 2–6.
  • Absences: Rot-Weiß Essen 0, RB Leipzig 0.

Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig?

Rot-Weiß Essen8%
Draw12%
RB Leipzig80%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig: more betting tips

Draw or RB Leipzig (X2)92.3% · fair odds 1.08 · best 1.06
Likely
Over 1.5 goals87.8% · fair odds 1.14 · best 1.10
Likely
RB Leipzig to win80.2% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.21
Likely
Over 2.5 goals74.4% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.28
Likely
Over 3.5 goals55.6% · fair odds 1.80 · best 1.73
Possible
BTTS – yes53.9% · fair odds 1.86 · best 1.74
Possible
BTTS – no46.1% · fair odds 2.17 · best 2.05
Outsider
Under 3.5 goals44.4% · fair odds 2.25 · best 2.22
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals25.6% · fair odds 3.91 · best 3.82
Outsider
Draw12.1% · fair odds 8.25 · best 8.50
Outsider
Rot-Weiß Essen to win7.7% · fair odds 13.01 · best 14.14
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.80 · Under 1.93
probability of over 51.8%

Correct score prediction

0 : 29.6%
0 : 39.6%
1 : 28.1%
1 : 38.1%
0 : 47.2%
0 : 16.4%

Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig: team news and absences

Rot-Weiß Essen

  • No reported absences

RB Leipzig

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Team comparison

Rot-Weiß EssenRB Leipzig
50%Form50%
25%Attack75%
0%Head to head100%
20%Goals80%
31.7%Overall68.3%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

Rot-Weiß EssenW
RB LeipzigW

Head to head

All matches
0Rot-Weiß Essen
0Draws
2RB Leipzig
27/10/26 · Rot-Weiß Essen 1–2 RB Leipzig
17/8/24 · Rot-Weiß Essen 1–4 RB Leipzig

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.9%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig?

RB Leipzig -2 (Asian handicap) (1.80); Over 3.5 goals (1.73).

Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig?

We estimate: Rot-Weiß Essen win 8%, draw 12%, RB Leipzig win 80%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 27 October 2026, kick-off: 17:00, venue: Stadion an der Hafenstraße, Essen. Referee: F. Exner.

Who will be missing?

Rot-Weiß Essen: no absences. RB Leipzig: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 74% (odds 1.28); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 26% (odds 3.82).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 54% (odds 1.74).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 0–2 as most likely (9.6%), then 0–3 (9.6%) and 1–2 (8.1%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.