Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is SC Freiburg against VfL Wolfsburg on 28 October 2026 · 17:00 at Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg), and S. Storks will referee. SC Freiburg (57%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Attack and defence. On average SC Freiburg score 5.0 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.0; for VfL Wolfsburg the figures are 3.0 scored and 3.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. SC Freiburg: 1W 0D 0L, goals 5–1; VfL Wolfsburg: 0W 1D 0L, goals 3–3.
- Head to head. From 33 meetings: 14 wins for SC Freiburg, 14 wins for VfL Wolfsburg and 5 draws, with the goals at 50–61.
What to expect
For us, SC Freiburg are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–1 (9.5%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.94), and we rate it at 51%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 66% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 68% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 33; SC Freiburg 14 wins, 5 draws, VfL Wolfsburg 14 wins.
- An average of 3.4 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: SC Freiburg 5–1, VfL Wolfsburg 3–3.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 68%.
- Out: SC Freiburg 0, VfL Wolfsburg 0.
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals (probability 49%, best price 2.09). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for SC Freiburg: no absences. Absent for VfL Wolfsburg: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.72 | 4.50 | 4.56 |
| Market average | 1.65 | 4.26 | 4.41 |
| Lowest odds | 1.57 | 3.90 | 4.10 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.09 | 85.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.36 | 68.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.20 | 2.93 | 31.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.09 | 1.94 | 48.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.40 | 65.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.88 | 2.72 | 34.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 28/10/26, 16:29. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.9%.
At a glance
- Likely result: SC Freiburg 2–1 VfL Wolfsburg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: SC Freiburg 1W 0D 0L (5:1), VfL Wolfsburg 0W 1D 0L (3:3).
- H2H: 33 matches: SC Freiburg 14W 5D 14L, goals 50–61.
- Absences: SC Freiburg 0, VfL Wolfsburg 0.
Who will win SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg: team news and absences
SC Freiburg
- No reported absences
VfL Wolfsburg
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
SC FreiburgWVfL WolfsburgDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Under 3.5 goals (1.94); SC Freiburg to win (1.72).
Who will win SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
We estimate: SC Freiburg win 57%, draw 22%, VfL Wolfsburg win 21%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 28 October 2026, kick-off: 17:00, venue: Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg. Referee: S. Storks.
Who will be missing?
SC Freiburg: no absences. VfL Wolfsburg: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 68% (odds 1.40); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 32% (odds 3.20).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 66% (odds 1.44).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (9.5%), then 1–1 (8.6%) and 2–0 (7.3%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.