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DFB-Pokal · round of 32 · 28 October 2026 · 17:00

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart: prediction, tip and odds, 28 October 2026, DFB-Pokal

1SC Paderborn 077.11
XDraw5.40
2VfB Stuttgart1.56

Best price · Updated 28/10/26, 16:29

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Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

SC Paderborn 07 v VfB Stuttgart: 28 October 2026 · 17:00 at Home Deluxe Arena (Paderborn), with F. Badstübner refereeing. We have VfB Stuttgart (65%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart: tip and prediction
Handicap
VfB Stuttgart -1 (Asian handicap)
1.91
Goals
Both teams to score
1.57
Combo
VfB Stuttgart + over 2.5 goals combined
2.04
49% · fair odds for the combo
56%Chance
1–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or VfB Stuttgart (X2): 84% probability, best odds 1.17.

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SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Attack and defence. On average SC Paderborn 07 score 4.0 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.0; for VfB Stuttgart the figures are 4.0 scored and 0.0 conceded.
  2. Form in the competition. SC Paderborn 07: 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–2; VfB Stuttgart: 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–0.
  3. Head to head. From 5 meetings: 0 wins for SC Paderborn 07, 4 wins for VfB Stuttgart and 1 draw, with the goals at 2–7.

What to expect

For us, VfB Stuttgart are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–2 (9.6%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.57), and we rate it at 61%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 61% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 67% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 5; SC Paderborn 07 0 wins, 1 draw, VfB Stuttgart 4 wins.
  2. An average of 1.8 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. In the competition, goals scored–conceded: SC Paderborn 07 4–2, VfB Stuttgart 4–0.
  4. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 67%.
  5. Out: SC Paderborn 07 0, VfB Stuttgart 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 61%, best price 1.57). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for SC Paderborn 07: no absences. Absent for VfB Stuttgart: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price7.115.401.56
Market average6.124.831.44
Lowest odds5.004.201.33
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.121.1084.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.441.3967.1%
Under 2.5 goals3.112.8332.9%
Over 3.5 goals2.112.0047.1%
BTTS – yes1.571.5260.9%
BTTS – no2.452.3739.1%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 28/10/26, 16:29. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.1%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: SC Paderborn 07 1–2 VfB Stuttgart, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Form in the competition: SC Paderborn 07 1W 0D 0L (4:2), VfB Stuttgart 1W 0D 0L (4:0).
  • H2H: 5 matches: SC Paderborn 07 0W 1D 4L, goals 2–7.
  • Absences: SC Paderborn 07 0, VfB Stuttgart 0.

Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?

SC Paderborn 0716%
Draw19%
VfB Stuttgart65%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals84.7% · fair odds 1.18 · best 1.12
Likely
Draw or VfB Stuttgart (X2)84.5% · fair odds 1.18 · best 1.17
Likely
Over 2.5 goals67.1% · fair odds 1.49 · best 1.44
Likely
VfB Stuttgart to win65.0% · fair odds 1.54 · best 1.56
Likely
BTTS – yes60.9% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.57
Likely
Under 3.5 goals52.9% · fair odds 1.89 · best 1.91
Possible
Over 3.5 goals47.1% · fair odds 2.12 · best 2.11
Outsider
BTTS – no39.1% · fair odds 2.55 · best 2.45
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals32.9% · fair odds 3.04 · best 3.11
Outsider
Draw19.5% · fair odds 5.14 · best 5.40
Outsider
SC Paderborn 07 to win15.5% · fair odds 6.44 · best 7.11
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.90 · Under 1.84
probability of over 49.2%

Correct score prediction

1 : 29.6%
0 : 28.8%
1 : 18.2%
1 : 37.6%
0 : 17.5%
0 : 36.9%

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart: team news and absences

SC Paderborn 07

  • No reported absences

VfB Stuttgart

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Team comparison

SC Paderborn 07VfB Stuttgart
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
0%Defence100%
9%Head to head91%
25%Goals75%
33.5%Overall66.5%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

SC Paderborn 07W
VfB StuttgartW

Head to head

All matches
0SC Paderborn 07
1Draws
4VfB Stuttgart
28/10/26 · SC Paderborn 07 0–1 VfB Stuttgart
10/10/26 · SC Paderborn 07 0–2 VfB Stuttgart
31/1/23 · SC Paderborn 07 1–2 VfB Stuttgart
23/5/15 · SC Paderborn 07 1–2 VfB Stuttgart
20/12/14 · VfB Stuttgart 0–0 SC Paderborn 07

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.1%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?

VfB Stuttgart -1 (Asian handicap) (1.91); Both teams to score (1.57).

Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?

We estimate: SC Paderborn 07 win 16%, draw 19%, VfB Stuttgart win 65%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 28 October 2026, kick-off: 17:00, venue: Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn. Referee: F. Badstübner.

Who will be missing?

SC Paderborn 07: no absences. VfB Stuttgart: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 67% (odds 1.44); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 33% (odds 3.11).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 61% (odds 1.57).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–2 as most likely (9.6%), then 0–2 (8.8%) and 1–1 (8.2%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.