KNVB Cup
Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sparta Rotterdam v Fortuna Sittard: 28 October 2026 · 17:45 at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel (Rotterdam), with S. van der Eijk refereeing. We have Sparta Rotterdam (49%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
What to expect
For us, Sparta Rotterdam are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 61% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 58% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 58%.
- Out: Sparta Rotterdam 0, Fortuna Sittard 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 61%, best price 1.57). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Sparta Rotterdam: no absences. Absent for Fortuna Sittard: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.00 | 3.90 | 3.89 |
| Market average | 1.90 | 3.63 | 3.57 |
| Lowest odds | 1.75 | 3.30 | 3.18 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.17 | 79.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.60 | 58.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.32 | 2.22 | 41.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.47 | 37.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.35 | 39.5% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 28/10/26, 17:26. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.3%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 Fortuna Sittard, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Absences: Sparta Rotterdam 0, Fortuna Sittard 0.
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard: team news and absences
Sparta Rotterdam
- No reported absences
Fortuna Sittard
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard?
Fortuna Sittard +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.77); Under 3.5 goals (1.55).
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard?
We estimate: Sparta Rotterdam win 49%, draw 25%, Fortuna Sittard win 26%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 28 October 2026, kick-off: 17:45, venue: Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam. Referee: S. van der Eijk.
Who will be missing?
Sparta Rotterdam: no absences. Fortuna Sittard: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.65); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 42% (odds 2.32).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 61% (odds 1.57).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.9%), then 2–1 (9.5%) and 1–0 (8.7%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.