Taça da Liga
Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sporting CP v Marítimo: 27 October 2026 · 20:15 at Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon), with I. Vasilica refereeing. We have Sporting CP (70%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Sporting CP vs Marítimo: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
What to expect
For us, Sporting CP are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–0 (10.6%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 54% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 64% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 64%.
- Out: Sporting CP 0, Marítimo 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 57%, best price 1.70). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Sporting CP: no absences. Absent for Marítimo: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Sporting CP vs Marítimo: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.35 | 5.69 | 8.50 |
| Market average | 1.31 | 5.24 | 7.70 |
| Lowest odds | 1.25 | 4.73 | 6.18 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.12 | 82.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.45 | 64.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.60 | 35.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.26 | 2.16 | 43.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.73 | 53.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.00 | 46.3% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.4%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Sporting CP 2–0 Marítimo, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Absences: Sporting CP 0, Marítimo 0.
Who will win Sporting CP vs Marítimo?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Sporting CP vs Marítimo: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Sporting CP vs Marítimo: team news and absences
Sporting CP
- No reported absences
Marítimo
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Sporting CP vs Marítimo?
Sporting CP -1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.95); Over 2.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win Sporting CP vs Marítimo?
We estimate: Sporting CP win 70%, draw 18%, Marítimo win 12%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 27 October 2026, kick-off: 20:15, venue: Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon. Referee: I. Vasilica.
Who will be missing?
Sporting CP: no absences. Marítimo: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 64% (odds 1.50); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 36% (odds 2.75).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 54% (odds 1.80).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–0 as most likely (10.6%), then 2–1 (9.6%) and 1–0 (8.9%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.