KNVB Cup
Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Telstar against Almere City FC on 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at BUKO Stadion (Velsen-Zuid), and J. van der Laan will referee. Telstar (46%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Telstar vs Almere City FC: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
What to expect
For us, Telstar are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (9.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.45), and we rate it at 65%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 67% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 65% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 65%.
- Out: Telstar 0, Almere City FC 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 55%, best price 1.74). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Telstar: no absences. Absent for Almere City FC: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Telstar vs Almere City FC: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.09 | 3.90 | 3.40 |
| Market average | 2.01 | 3.69 | 3.17 |
| Lowest odds | 1.91 | 3.44 | 2.76 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.11 | 83.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.45 | 1.42 | 65.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.66 | 34.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.07 | 45.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.40 | 1.39 | 66.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.88 | 2.79 | 33.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.6%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Telstar 1–1 Almere City FC, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Absences: Telstar 0, Almere City FC 0.
Who will win Telstar vs Almere City FC?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Telstar vs Almere City FC: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Telstar vs Almere City FC: team news and absences
Telstar
- No reported absences
Almere City FC
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Telstar vs Almere City FC?
Telstar -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.87); Over 2.5 goals (1.45).
Who will win Telstar vs Almere City FC?
We estimate: Telstar win 46%, draw 25%, Almere City FC win 29%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 27 October 2026, kick-off: 19:00, venue: BUKO Stadion, Velsen-Zuid. Referee: J. van der Laan.
Who will be missing?
Telstar: no absences. Almere City FC: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 65% (odds 1.45); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 35% (odds 2.75).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 67% (odds 1.40).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (9.9%), then 2–1 (9.2%) and 1–2 (7.2%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.