Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 5–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
AC Horsens v Sønderjyske: 25 October 2026 · 15:00 at CASA Arena (Horsens), with Jacob A Sundberg refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. AC Horsens are 7th in the table, on 16 points after 13 matches (4W 4D 5L), and Sønderjyske are 12th, on 8 points (2W 2D 9L).
- Attack and defence. On average AC Horsens score 1.6 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.7; for Sønderjyske the figures are 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. AC Horsens: 3W 4D 4L, goals 18–19; Sønderjyske: 2W 2D 7L, goals 16–24.
- Head to head. From 26 meetings: 9 wins for AC Horsens, 12 wins for Sønderjyske and 5 draws, with the goals at 42–45.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (11.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), and we rate it at 66%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 59% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 55% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 26; AC Horsens 9 wins, 5 draws, Sønderjyske 12 wins.
- An average of 3.3 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: AC Horsens 18–19, Sønderjyske 16–24.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 55%.
- Out: AC Horsens 2, Sønderjyske 2.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 59%, best price 1.57). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for AC Horsens: C. Vestergaard, O. Kolskogen. Absent for Sønderjyske: M. Bundgaard, E. Duru. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.50 | 3.60 | 2.86 |
| Market average | 2.39 | 3.45 | 2.76 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.62 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.21 | 76.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.78 | 1.72 | 54.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.15 | 2.08 | 45.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.75 | 33.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.57 | 59.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.32 | 2.26 | 41.0% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 25/10/26, 12:53. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.1%.
At a glance
- Likely result: AC Horsens 1–1 Sønderjyske, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: AC Horsens 7th (16 points), Sønderjyske 12th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: AC Horsens 3W 4D 4L (18:19), Sønderjyske 2W 2D 7L (16:24).
- H2H: 26 matches: AC Horsens 9W 5D 12L, goals 42–45.
- Absences: AC Horsens 2, Sønderjyske 2.
Who will win AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske: team news and absences
AC Horsens
- C. Vestergaardknee injury · will miss the match
- O. Kolskogennot in the squad · doubtful
Sønderjyske
- M. Bundgaardnot in the squad · will miss the match
- E. Durunot in the squad · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Midtjylland | 13 | 9-4-0 | 27:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  FC Copenhagen | 13 | 9-2-2 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 3 |  Viborg | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:12 | 23 |
| 4 |  Brøndby | 13 | 7-1-5 | 23:20 | 22 |
| 5 |  FC Nordsjælland | 13 | 5-5-3 | 20:17 | 20 |
| 6 |  Odense | 13 | 4-5-4 | 15:17 | 17 |
| 7 | AC Horsens | 13 | 4-4-5 | 23:21 | 16 |
| 8 |  Aarhus | 13 | 2-6-5 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 9 |  Silkeborg | 13 | 2-6-5 | 17:24 | 12 |
| 10 |  Randers FC | 13 | 3-2-8 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 11 |  Lyngby | 13 | 2-5-6 | 19:28 | 11 |
| 12 | Sønderjyske | 13 | 2-2-9 | 17:31 | 8 |
Recent matches
AC Horsens
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
AC HorsensLWDDDSønderjyskeLLWLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske?
AC Horsens +0 (Asian handicap) (1.83); Under 3.5 goals (1.47).
Who will win AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske?
We estimate: AC Horsens win 39%, draw 27%, Sønderjyske win 34%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 25 October 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: CASA Arena, Horsens. Referee: Jacob A Sundberg.
Who will be missing?
AC Horsens: C. Vestergaard, O. Kolskogen. Sønderjyske: M. Bundgaard, E. Duru. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.78); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 45% (odds 2.15).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 59% (odds 1.57).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.9%), then 1–0 (8.8%) and 2–1 (8.6%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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