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FA Cup · 4th Round Qualifying · 20 October 2026 · 19:45

Alvechurch vs Spalding United: prediction, tip and odds, 20 October 2026, FA Cup

Alvechurch
4–0
Spalding United
1Alvechurch3.00
XDraw3.80
2Spalding United2.26

Best price · Updated 20/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 4–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Alvechurch v Spalding United: 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at Lye Meadow (Alfchurch). We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

Alvechurch vs Spalding United: tip and prediction
Handicap
Alvechurch +0.25 (Asian handicap)
1.88
Goals
Both teams to score
1.62
52%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Alvechurch vs Spalding United: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

    What to expect

    We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–2 score estimate, roughly 3 goals in all, and 1–1 (11.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

    In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.62), and we rate it at 57%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 57% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 53% chance.

    Prediction summary

    1. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 53%.
    2. Out: Alvechurch 0, Spalding United 0.

    Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

    Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 57%, best price 1.62). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

    Absences

    Absent for Alvechurch: no absences. Absent for Spalding United: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

    Alvechurch vs Spalding United: compare the odds

    Match result1X2
    Best price3.003.802.26
    Market average2.813.492.19
    Lowest odds2.703.402.10
    GoalsBestAverageChance
    Over 1.5 goals1.241.2175.3%
    Over 2.5 goals1.751.7453.2%
    Under 2.5 goals2.051.9846.8%
    Over 3.5 goals2.882.8332.2%
    BTTS – yes1.621.6156.9%
    BTTS – no2.162.1343.1%

    Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 20/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 10.0%.

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    At a glance

    • Likely result: Alvechurch 1–1 Spalding United, roughly 3 goals in total.
    • Absences: Alvechurch 0, Spalding United 0.

    Who will win Alvechurch vs Spalding United?

    Alvechurch32%
    Draw26%
    Spalding United42%

    Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

    Alvechurch vs Spalding United: more betting tips

    Over 1.5 goals75.3% · fair odds 1.33 · best 1.24
    Likely
    Under 3.5 goals67.8% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.39
    Likely
    Draw or Spalding United (X2)67.6% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.36
    Likely
    BTTS – yes56.9% · fair odds 1.76 · best 1.62
    Possible
    Over 2.5 goals53.2% · fair odds 1.88 · best 1.75
    Possible
    Under 2.5 goals46.8% · fair odds 2.14 · best 2.05
    Outsider
    BTTS – no43.1% · fair odds 2.32 · best 2.16
    Outsider
    Spalding United to win41.6% · fair odds 2.41 · best 2.26
    Outsider
    Alvechurch to win32.4% · fair odds 3.09 · best 3.00
    Outsider
    Over 3.5 goals32.2% · fair odds 3.10 · best 2.88
    Outsider
    Draw26.0% · fair odds 3.84 · best 3.80
    Outsider

    Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

    Correct score prediction

    1 : 111.9%
    0 : 19.1%
    1 : 28.9%
    1 : 07.9%
    2 : 17.7%
    0 : 26.8%

    Alvechurch vs Spalding United: team news and absences

    Alvechurch

    • No reported absences

    Spalding United

    • No reported absences

    Changes are possible before kick-off.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 £
    Net profit0 £
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin10.0%

    Questions and answers

    What do we tip for Alvechurch vs Spalding United?

    Alvechurch +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Both teams to score (1.62).

    Who will win Alvechurch vs Spalding United?

    We estimate: Alvechurch win 32%, draw 26%, Spalding United win 42%.

    Where and when is the game being played?

    Date: 20 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Lye Meadow, Alfchurch.

    Who will be missing?

    Alvechurch: no absences. Spalding United: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

    Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

    We estimate over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.75); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 47% (odds 2.05).

    Will both teams score?

    By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 57% (odds 1.62).

    Which correct score is the likeliest?

    We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.9%), then 0–1 (9.1%) and 1–2 (8.9%).

    What are your predictions based on?

    We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

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    18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.