Bet with Freshbet →Wimborne Town v Crawley Town: 8 November 2026 · 15:00. We have Crawley Town (66%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town betting prediction
Crawley Town head to Wimborne Town in the FA Cup, 1/128-finals, on 8 November 2026 with kick-off at 15:00, and the bookmakers price the visitors at a 66% chance to win against 15% for the hosts. The real question here is not simply who takes the tie. It is how much daylight Crawley must create, since a one-goal margin decides which way our main angle falls.
Five matches, one win, and a leaky back line
Across all competitions, Crawley have collected one win, two draws and two defeats from their last five matches, finding the net seven times while letting in eight. The 2-2 draw with Chesterfield and the 2-3 home loss to Shrewsbury are the standouts for us, and the 1-0 away victory at Oldham is the sole occasion they went without conceding.
Because these results span every competition rather than just this cup, they reflect how each team plays overall, not how it has done in this tournament alone. Four of the last five matches saw both sides find the net, and that pattern is the one we keep coming back to.
Wimborne's home form is the unknown
We hold no recent Wimborne results to weigh against Crawley's run, so the home side's current shape is unknown to us. Nor do we have a record of any previous fixture between these two clubs. That leaves us relying on the form guide and the odds, and we prefer to take the bookmakers' assessment of the difference in quality rather than fabricate a backstory.
No reported absences on either side
Neither Wimborne Town nor Crawley Town has had any injuries or suspensions flagged, so there is nothing in the team news that calls for a change to the forecast.
What the odds suggest about goals
Over 2.5 goals has a 62% probability, with the best available odds at 1.53, while over 1.5 goals comes in at 81%. Crawley is projected at roughly 2 goals and Wimborne at roughly 1, which adds up to about 3 goals overall. The three most probable correct scores are 0-2 at 10.4%, 1-2 at 9.9% and 0-1 at 9.4%. Across the match result, the bookmakers build in a margin of 9.1%. Taken together, these figures reflect the bookmakers' own expectations and lean towards a Crawley win.
Best bet for Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town: Crawley Town -1.25
Crawley Town -1.25 (Asian handicap) at 1.90 is our top selection, with a 50% chance. The market also puts it at 50% at best odds of 1.90, so the price looks fair to us, not generous. What makes it workable is staking it in two parts, since the outcome we are most wary of is a one-goal win.
This split bet puts 50% of the stake on Crawley Town -1.5 and the other 50% on Crawley Town -1. The -1.5 half needs a margin of two goals or more to pay. The -1 half also needs a two-goal or more margin to win, while a one-goal margin refunds that portion.
Here is what happens to the primary pick across the most probable final scores (home-away): a 0-2 result is a win; a 1-2 result is a partial loss, with half the stake returned; a 0-1 result is also a partial loss, with half the stake returned; a 1-1 draw is a loss; a 0-3 result is a win; and a 1-3 result is a win.
Another tip: Over 2.5 goals
Our second pick is Over 2.5 goals at 1.53 odds (62% chance). Crawley have cleared 2.5 goals in three of their five games across all competitions, with an expected total near 3, and the market prices it at 62% with the best available odds of 1.53. The bet targets goals rather than a straight result, which is why it sits as our second option.
Settlement of the second tip across the most probable outcomes (home-away): 0-2 is a loss; 1-2 is a win; 0-1 is a loss; 1-1 is a loss; 0-3 is a win; 1-3 is a win.
Other bets we would look at
If you prefer a simpler pick, Crawley to win at odds 1.42 (chance 66%) lines up most closely with our assessment. Bettors seeking somewhat higher payouts from the favourite could consider Crawley Town -0.75 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.50 (chance 63%).
Reading the -0.75 line: the stake is split evenly, with one half backed on Crawley Town -1 and the other half on Crawley Town -0.5. For the -1 portion, Crawley Town needs a margin of at least two goals; if they win by exactly one, that portion is refunded. The -0.5 portion pays out as long as Crawley Town win by one goal or more.
- Crawley Town at 1.42 to take the match (66% chance). Of all the picks, this one is the most straightforward.
- Crawley Town -0.75 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.50 (chance 63%). Our choice for bettors who are after a bit more on the winning side.
Last call before kickoff
Crawley is our pick, and the over 2.5 goals selection is worth a look too, but the main tip carries the most stake of the two. Wimborne at 6.70 doesn't interest us, and neither does the draw at 4.85. Because this is a cup tie, keep your staking light; the odds already reflect most of the information available on this game.
Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 6.70 | 4.85 | 1.42 |
| Market average | 6.32 | 4.65 | 1.39 |
| Lowest odds | 6.00 | 4.33 | 1.36 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.14 | 81.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 | 1.50 | 61.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.50 | 2.41 | 38.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.28 | 40.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.70 | 54.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.06 | 2.02 | 45.7% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 3/11/26, 02:45. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 9.1%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Wimborne Town 0–2 Crawley Town, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Absences: Wimborne Town 0, Crawley Town 0.
Who will win Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town: team news and absences
Wimborne Town
- No reported absences
Crawley Town
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Wimborne TownWDDWWCrawley TownReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town?
Crawley Town -1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Over 2.5 goals (1.53).
Who will win Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town?
We estimate: Wimborne Town win 15%, draw 20%, Crawley Town win 66%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 8 November 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: to be confirmed.
Who will be missing?
Wimborne Town: no absences. Crawley Town: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.53); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 38% (odds 2.50).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 54% (odds 1.75).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 0–2 as most likely (10.4%), then 1–2 (9.9%) and 0–1 (9.4%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.