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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 10 November 2026 · 19:00

Badajoz vs Tenerife: prediction, tip and odds, 10 November 2026, Copa del Rey

Badajoz
VS
1Badajoz5.50
XDraw4.00
2Tenerife1.74

Best price · Updated 5/11/26, 08:41

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Badajoz play Tenerife at home on 10 November 2026 · 19:00 at Estadio Nuevo Vivero (Badajoz). For us, Tenerife (56%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.

Badajoz vs Tenerife: tip and prediction
Handicap
Badajoz +0.75 (Asian handicap)
1.98
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.95
Combo
Tenerife + over 2.5 goals combined
3.04
33% · fair odds for the combo
50%Chance
0–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Tenerife (X2): 81% probability, best odds 1.18.

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Badajoz vs Tenerife: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

    What to expect

    For us, Tenerife are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 0–1 (12.6%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.

    In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.95), and we rate it at 51%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 50% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 49% chance.

    Prediction summary

    1. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 49%.
    2. Out: Badajoz 0, Tenerife 0.

    Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

    Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 50%, best price 1.91). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

    Absences

    Absent for Badajoz: no absences. Absent for Tenerife: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

    Badajoz vs Tenerife: compare the odds

    Match result1X2
    Best price5.504.001.74
    Market average4.843.701.67
    Lowest odds4.163.371.57
    GoalsBestAverageChance
    Over 1.5 goals1.291.2772.5%
    Over 2.5 goals1.951.8949.3%
    Under 2.5 goals1.951.8450.7%
    Over 3.5 goals3.403.2028.9%
    BTTS – yes1.911.8550.4%
    BTTS – no1.951.8849.6%

    Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 08:41. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.7%.

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    At a glance

    • Likely result: Badajoz 0–1 Tenerife, roughly 3 goals in total.
    • Absences: Badajoz 0, Tenerife 0.

    Who will win Badajoz vs Tenerife?

    Badajoz19%
    Draw25%
    Tenerife56%

    Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

    Badajoz vs Tenerife: more betting tips

    Draw or Tenerife (X2)80.7% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.18
    Likely
    Over 1.5 goals72.5% · fair odds 1.38 · best 1.29
    Likely
    Under 3.5 goals71.1% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.34
    Likely
    Tenerife to win55.6% · fair odds 1.80 · best 1.74
    Possible
    Under 2.5 goals50.7% · fair odds 1.97 · best 1.95
    Possible
    BTTS – yes50.4% · fair odds 1.99 · best 1.91
    Possible
    BTTS – no49.6% · fair odds 2.01 · best 1.95
    Outsider
    Over 2.5 goals49.3% · fair odds 2.03 · best 1.95
    Outsider
    Over 3.5 goals28.9% · fair odds 3.46 · best 3.40
    Outsider
    Draw25.1% · fair odds 3.98 · best 4.00
    Outsider
    Badajoz to win19.3% · fair odds 5.18 · best 5.50
    Outsider

    Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

    Correct score prediction

    0 : 112.6%
    1 : 111.4%
    0 : 210.7%
    1 : 29.7%
    0 : 07.4%
    1 : 06.7%

    Badajoz vs Tenerife: team news and absences

    Badajoz

    • No reported absences

    Tenerife

    • No reported absences

    Changes are possible before kick-off.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 £
    Net profit0 £
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin7.7%

    Questions and answers

    What do we tip for Badajoz vs Tenerife?

    Badajoz +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.98); Under 2.5 goals (1.95).

    Who will win Badajoz vs Tenerife?

    We estimate: Badajoz win 19%, draw 25%, Tenerife win 56%.

    Where and when is the game being played?

    Date: 10 November 2026, kick-off: 19:00, venue: Estadio Nuevo Vivero, Badajoz.

    Who will be missing?

    Badajoz: no absences. Tenerife: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

    Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

    We estimate over 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 1.95); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 51% (odds 1.95).

    Will both teams score?

    By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 50% (odds 1.91).

    Which correct score is the likeliest?

    We rate 0–1 as most likely (12.6%), then 1–1 (11.4%) and 0–2 (10.7%).

    What are your predictions based on?

    We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

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    18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.

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