Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 6–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Bayern München against 1. FC Magdeburg on 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at Allianz Arena (Munich), and H. Osmers will referee. Bayern München (90%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Attack and defence. On average Bayern München score 4.0 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.0; for 1. FC Magdeburg the figures are 4.0 scored and 0.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Bayern München: 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–1; 1. FC Magdeburg: 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–0.
- Head to head. From 1 meetings: 1 win for Bayern München, 0 wins for 1. FC Magdeburg and 0 draws, with the goals at 6–1.
What to expect
For us, Bayern München are the more likely winners. We estimate a 4–1 score, roughly 5 goals in all, with 3–0 (8.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
Odds of 1.08 on the result do not offer much, so it is worth turning to the goals markets: Both teams to score (odds 1.81), which we rate at 52%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 52% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 85% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 1; Bayern München 1 win, 0 draws, 1. FC Magdeburg 0 wins.
- An average of 7.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Bayern München 4–1, 1. FC Magdeburg 4–0.
- Expected: roughly 5 goals; over 2.5 goals: 85%.
- Out: Bayern München 0, 1. FC Magdeburg 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 52%, best price 1.81). With roughly 5 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Bayern München: no absences. Absent for 1. FC Magdeburg: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.08 | 15.00 | 41.71 |
| Market average | 1.07 | 13.78 | 31.24 |
| Lowest odds | 1.05 | 11.33 | 23.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.02 | 1.02 | 94.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.10 | 1.09 | 85.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 7.00 | 6.38 | 14.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.28 | 73.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.81 | 1.81 | 51.5% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.92 | 48.5% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 28/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.5%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Bayern München 3–0 1. FC Magdeburg, roughly 5 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: Bayern München 1W 0D 0L (4:1), 1. FC Magdeburg 1W 0D 0L (4:0).
- H2H: 1 match: Bayern München 1W 0D 0L, goals 6–1.
- Absences: Bayern München 0, 1. FC Magdeburg 0.
Who will win Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg: team news and absences
Bayern München
- No reported absences
1. FC Magdeburg
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Bayern MünchenW1. FC MagdeburgWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
Both teams to score (1.81); Bayern München to win (1.08).
Who will win Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
We estimate: Bayern München win 90%, draw 7%, 1. FC Magdeburg win 3%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 28 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Allianz Arena, Munich. Referee: H. Osmers.
Who will be missing?
Bayern München: no absences. 1. FC Magdeburg: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 85% (odds 1.10); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 15% (odds 7.00).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 52% (odds 1.81).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 3–0 as most likely (8.9%), then 4–0 (8.8%) and 3–1 (7.1%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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