Taça da Liga
Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 4–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Benfica play GIL Vicente at home on 29 October 2026 · 20:45 at Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz) (Lisbon); the referee is J. Bessa. For us, Benfica (74%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Benfica vs GIL Vicente: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Head to head. From 23 meetings: 19 wins for Benfica, 2 wins for GIL Vicente and 2 draws, with the goals at 57–16.
What to expect
For us, Benfica are the more likely winners. We estimate a 3–1 score, roughly 4 goals in all, with 2–0 (10.7%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
Odds of 1.28 on the result do not offer much, so it is worth turning to the goals markets: Both teams to score (odds 1.80), which we rate at 53%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 53% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 67% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 23; Benfica 19 wins, 2 draws, GIL Vicente 2 wins.
- An average of 3.2 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 67%.
- Out: Benfica 0, GIL Vicente 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 53%, best price 1.80). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Benfica: no absences. Absent for GIL Vicente: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Benfica vs GIL Vicente: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.28 | 6.46 | 10.05 |
| Market average | 1.25 | 5.83 | 9.31 |
| Lowest odds | 1.20 | 5.32 | 7.53 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.09 | 84.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.42 | 1.38 | 67.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.01 | 2.84 | 32.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.04 | 1.99 | 47.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.75 | 53.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 1.97 | 47.0% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 29/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.2%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Benfica 2–0 GIL Vicente, roughly 4 goals in total.
- H2H: 23 matches: Benfica 19W 2D 2L, goals 57–16.
- Absences: Benfica 0, GIL Vicente 0.
Who will win Benfica vs GIL Vicente?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Benfica vs GIL Vicente: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Benfica vs GIL Vicente: team news and absences
Benfica
- No reported absences
GIL Vicente
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Benfica vs GIL Vicente?
Benfica -1.75 (Asian handicap) (1.95); Both teams to score (1.80).
Who will win Benfica vs GIL Vicente?
We estimate: Benfica win 74%, draw 16%, GIL Vicente win 10%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 29 October 2026, kick-off: 20:45, venue: Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz), Lisbon. Referee: J. Bessa.
Who will be missing?
Benfica: no absences. GIL Vicente: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 67% (odds 1.42); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 33% (odds 3.01).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 53% (odds 1.80).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–0 as most likely (10.7%), then 3–0 (9.3%) and 2–1 (9.1%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.