It is Boulogne against Annecy on 6 November 2026 · 19:00 at Stade de la Libération (Boulogne-Sur-Mer), and Benoit Millot will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Boulogne vs Annecy betting prediction
We like the draw or Annecy, the double chance written as X2, at odds 1.57, which gives it a 62% chance in the bookmakers' market. Boulogne host Annecy in Ligue 2, Matchweek 12, at the Stade de la Libération on 6 November 2026, kick-off 19:00. Our second tip is Under 2.5 goals at odds 1.65, a 58% chance. Both come from the same idea: Boulogne are not a side we trust to win, and Annecy are not a side we expect to run away with it.
Annecy's better table position tells the story
In this competition Annecy sit seventh with 16 points from 11 matches, five wins, one draw and five defeats, with 14 goals scored and 15 conceded. Boulogne are 14th on 10 points from the same 11 games, with one win, seven draws and three defeats, and only 7 goals scored against 8 conceded. Those are the table figures of this competition alone, so a side can be well placed here and still lose in a cup or in another competition. That caveat matters less here than it might elsewhere, because the picture is clear.
Annecy have been the more reliable travellers. Away from home they have won four, drawn none and lost two, with nine goals scored and seven conceded. Boulogne at home have not won at all this season in the league: none of their wins came in front of their own crowd, with four draws and one defeat and goals of 4:5. That is the single most useful number on the page for us. A home side that cannot win at home is not a side we want to back to beat a team with a better away record.
Recent form points the same way
Boulogne's last five matches in all competitions brought one win, two draws and two defeats, with five goals scored and five conceded. The one win, a 2-0 away success at Grenoble, is the only thing that keeps their recent run from looking flat. Annecy's last five brought two wins, no draws and three defeats, with six goals scored and eight conceded. Annecy have been losing more than they have been winning lately, and we are not blind to it. But Boulogne have won only once in that same stretch, and that is the comparison that matters to our tip.
The meetings favour the visitors
The head-to-head record is one-sided. In the last six meetings Boulogne have won none, drawn two and lost four to Annecy, with three goals scored and eleven conceded. The most recent meeting, on 2 May 2026, ended Boulogne 1-2 Annecy, and the one before it, 31 October 2025, was a 1-1 draw. We do not treat old results as a guarantee, but a side that has beaten its opponent four times in six meetings deserves respect when we price a double chance.
No absences to weigh either way
Neither side has any reported absence, so the selection news does not move us in either direction. We are judging this match on the table, the away and home splits, the meetings and the market, and nothing else.
Why the market agrees with the draw or Annecy
The bookmakers make Boulogne the most likely winners at 38%, with a draw at 31% and Annecy at 31%. The table favours Annecy and the bookmakers favour Boulogne, which is exactly the split we want to exploit. The 62% chance on X2 is the bookmakers' own view of the draw and an Annecy win combined, and at best odds of 1.57 it is a price we are happy to take. We would not back Boulogne to win outright at 2.54.
Another tip: Under 2.5 goals
Our second tip is more cautious. Boulogne have had more than 2.5 goals in only one of their last five matches, and the market expects about two goals in total, with a 58% chance on Under 2.5 at odds 1.65. The most likely exact scores are 1-1 at 13.1%, 1-0 at 11.9% and 0-1 at 10.5%, all of which keep the match under the line. We are aware that Annecy's last five had more than 2.5 goals in four matches, so we do not claim this is a sure thing. We simply think the Boulogne end of the equation is the one that pulls the total down.
Other bets we like around the tips
Two of the other markets fit alongside our tips without working against them. Annecy +1 at odds 1.24, a 77% chance, is a sensible way to add cover to the Annecy side of at +1 it wins unless Annecy lose by two or more, and a defeat by exactly one returns the stake. Under 3.5 goals at odds 1.24, a 77% chance, is the same logic as our second tip with more room, since four or more goals would need to arrive for it to lose. We would not add a heavier total or a second win bet on Boulogne to this card; the reasons above are the ones that carry it.
Boulogne vs Annecy: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.49 | 3.10 | 3.15 |
| Market average | 2.42 | 3.00 | 2.98 |
| Lowest odds | 2.29 | 2.88 | 2.73 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.38 | 67.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.24 | 42.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.62 | 58.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.40 | 4.16 | 22.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.87 | 49.4% |
| BTTS – no | 1.85 | 1.83 | 50.6% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 08:15. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.3%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Boulogne 1–1 Annecy, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Boulogne 14th (10 points), Annecy 7th (16 points).
- Form in the competition: Boulogne 1W 7D 3L (7:8), Annecy 5W 1D 5L (14:15).
- H2H: 6 matches: Boulogne 0W 2D 4L, goals 3–11.
- Absences: Boulogne 0, Annecy 0.
Who will win Boulogne vs Annecy?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Boulogne vs Annecy: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Boulogne vs Annecy: team news and absences
Boulogne
- No reported absences
Annecy
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 8-1-2 | 23:11 | 25 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7-3-1 | 16:6 | 24 | |
| 3 | 11 | 7-1-3 | 16:9 | 22 | |
| 4 | 11 | 5-6-0 | 22:12 | 21 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6-2-3 | 16:11 | 20 | |
| 6 | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:16 | 17 | |
| 7 | 11 | 5-1-5 | 14:15 | 16 | |
| 8 | 11 | 4-3-4 | 20:19 | 15 | |
| 9 | 11 | 4-2-5 | 16:15 | 14 | |
| 10 | 11 | 3-5-3 | 17:17 | 14 | |
| 11 | 11 | 4-1-6 | 17:22 | 13 | |
| 12 | 11 | 3-3-5 | 14:17 | 12 | |
| 13 | 11 | 2-5-4 | 8:14 | 11 | |
| 14 | 11 | 1-7-3 | 7:8 | 10 | |
| 15 | 11 | 2-3-6 | 12:18 | 9 | |
| 16 | 11 | 2-3-6 | 14:21 | 9 | |
| 17 | 11 | 0-8-3 | 10:15 | 8 | |
| 18 | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:20 | 8 |
Recent matches
Boulogne
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Boulogne vs Annecy?
Annecy +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.60); Under 2.5 goals (1.65).
Who will win Boulogne vs Annecy?
We estimate: Boulogne win 38%, draw 31%, Annecy win 31%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 6 November 2026, kick-off: 19:00, venue: Stade de la Libération, Boulogne-Sur-Mer. Referee: Benoit Millot.
Who will be missing?
Boulogne: no absences. Annecy: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 42% (odds 2.35); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 58% (odds 1.65).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 49% (odds 1.91).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (13.1%), then 1–0 (11.9%) and 0–1 (10.5%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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