It is Dijon against RED Star FC 93 on 6 November 2026 · 19:00 at Stade Gaston-Gérard (Dijon), and Gael Angoula will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Dijon vs RED Star FC 93 betting prediction
Two numbers frame this one: the market's expected goals sit at 2 for each side, about 4 in total, and the most likely exact score is 1-1 at 11.2%. Dijon and RED Star FC 93 are not obviously heading for a stroll, yet the bookmakers see the result as close to a coin toss, with Dijon at 36%, the draw at 27% and RED Star FC 93 at 37%. We like the goals side of this more than the result side.
Dijon's home scoring against RED Star's away punch
Dijon have scored 20 and conceded 19 in this competition, but their home numbers are the ones to watch. At the Stade Gaston-Gérard they have two wins, no draws and three defeats, with 10 goals scored and 10 conceded. That is a side that leaks chances in both directions when the crowd is behind them, and we do not expect that to change against a team that scores freely on the road.
RED Star FC 93 are the better travellers. In this competition they have four wins, one draw and one defeat away from home, with 11 goals scored and seven conceded. Those are the figures that stand out to us. Their away record is the strongest part of their season so far, and it is the reason we are not quite ready to back Dijon to win.
Five matches each, and the two stories they tell
Dijon's recent five come across all competitions, not just this one. They have won three, lost two, scored 12 and conceded 10, and both teams have scored in every one of those matches. Their form looks more settled than the table suggests, and they have been on the right side of the scoreline more often than not.
RED Star FC 93 have a rougher run on paper: two wins and three defeats, with eight scored and 10 conceded. They failed to score in one of the five, and the last home match, a 1-4 defeat to Nancy, was the sort of result that makes a coach look at the back line. Still, the table and the five-match run are different things. RED Star sit sixth on 17 points in this competition, and that table only counts Ligue 2 matches, so a cup or European defeat is not what the league table is telling you.
Head-to-head: Dijon have the recent edge
The last four meetings went Dijon's way twice, with one draw and one win for RED Star FC 93, and the goals were split 7-4 in Dijon's favour. The 3-2 RED Star win at home in May 2016 showed how these two can trade goals. The 0-0 draw from December 2015 is the outlier, and we would not lean on it.
The head-to-head is only a small sample, and we would not put much weight on it.
No injuries to worry about on either side
Neither club has any absences reported, so the selections should be close to full strength. That removes one of the usual reasons to hesitate on a match like this. We take that as a plus for the goal markets, because we are not guessing about who is missing from the attack or the back four.
Best bet for Dijon vs RED Star FC 93: Over 2.5 goals
This is the bet we like most. Over 2.5 goals at odds 1.75, with the market giving it a 58% chance at best odds, is where we would put the money. Dijon have had more than 2.5 goals in all five of their recent matches, and RED Star FC 93 have done it in four of their five. Both sides are involved in games that open up, and the expected goals of 2 each back that up.
The settling is simple enough. Over 2.5 wins on 1-2, 2-1 and 2-2, and loses on 1-1, 1-0 and 0-1. The most likely score, 1-1, is the one that breaks the bet, so this is not a bet we are sure of. We are comfortable with that.
Second tip: draw or RED Star win, the safer angle
Our second tip is draw or RED Star FC 93 (X2) at odds 1.50, a 64% chance at best odds. The table backs it: RED Star sit sixth with 17 points, Dijon eighth with 15. RED Star's away record of four wins, one draw and one defeat is the core of the argument. Dijon's home record is the one thing that makes us think twice.
X2 wins on 1-1, 1-2, 0-1 and 2-2, and loses on 2-1 and 1-0. It is the lower-risk option of the two tips, but it is not a bet that comes with much value at 1.50. We would only take it if we were nervous about the goals angle.
Alternatives we would consider
- Over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, a 79% chance at best odds. It is short, but it fits the same story as our main tip, and it is the safest goal bet on the page.
- Both teams to score at odds 1.60, a 62% chance at best odds. Dijon have scored in all five of their recent matches, and RED Star have scored in four of five. The 1-1 most likely score, the 2-1 and the 1-2 all carry this bet.
- RED Star FC 93 +0.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.51, a 63% chance at best odds. At +0.5 the bet wins unless RED Star FC 93 lose by one or more. It is a way to back the away side's record without needing them to win.
Most likely score: 1-1
The market's most likely exact score is 1-1, ahead of 1-2 and 2-1 at 8.4% each. The exact score 1-1 at 11.2% is the single most probable scoreline, which is why our second tip is alive at that scoreline. Our main tip, the over, needs one more goal than that. We would stick with both tips and let the scoreline do the talking.
Dijon vs RED Star FC 93: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.65 | 3.60 | 2.65 |
| Market average | 2.53 | 3.43 | 2.53 |
| Lowest odds | 2.37 | 3.18 | 2.42 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.18 | 78.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.68 | 1.63 | 57.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.23 | 42.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.78 | 2.55 | 36.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.50 | 62.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.46 | 37.8% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 08:15. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.3%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Dijon 1–1 RED Star FC 93, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Dijon 8th (15 points), RED Star FC 93 6th (17 points).
- Form in the competition: Dijon 4W 3D 4L (20:19), RED Star FC 93 5W 2D 4L (14:16).
- H2H: 4 matches: Dijon 2W 1D 1L, goals 7–4.
- Absences: Dijon 0, RED Star FC 93 0.
Who will win Dijon vs RED Star FC 93?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Dijon vs RED Star FC 93: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Dijon vs RED Star FC 93: team news and absences
Dijon
- No reported absences
RED Star FC 93
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 8-1-2 | 23:11 | 25 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7-3-1 | 16:6 | 24 | |
| 3 | 11 | 7-1-3 | 16:9 | 22 | |
| 4 | 11 | 5-6-0 | 22:12 | 21 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6-2-3 | 16:11 | 20 | |
| 6 | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:16 | 17 | |
| 7 | 11 | 5-1-5 | 14:15 | 16 | |
| 8 | 11 | 4-3-4 | 20:19 | 15 | |
| 9 | 11 | 4-2-5 | 16:15 | 14 | |
| 10 | 11 | 3-5-3 | 17:17 | 14 | |
| 11 | 11 | 4-1-6 | 17:22 | 13 | |
| 12 | 11 | 3-3-5 | 14:17 | 12 | |
| 13 | 11 | 2-5-4 | 8:14 | 11 | |
| 14 | 11 | 1-7-3 | 7:8 | 10 | |
| 15 | 11 | 2-3-6 | 12:18 | 9 | |
| 16 | 11 | 2-3-6 | 14:21 | 9 | |
| 17 | 11 | 0-8-3 | 10:15 | 8 | |
| 18 | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:20 | 8 |
Recent matches
Dijon
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Dijon vs RED Star FC 93?
Over 2.5 goals (1.68); Draw or RED Star FC 93 (X2) (1.50).
Who will win Dijon vs RED Star FC 93?
We estimate: Dijon win 36%, draw 27%, RED Star FC 93 win 37%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 6 November 2026, kick-off: 19:00, venue: Stade Gaston-Gérard, Dijon. Referee: Gael Angoula.
Who will be missing?
Dijon: no absences. RED Star FC 93: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.68); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 42% (odds 2.30).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 62% (odds 1.53).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.2%), then 1–2 (8.4%) and 2–1 (8.4%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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