Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
FC Thun play HNK Hajduk Split at home on 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Stockhorn Arena (Thun); the referee is J. Gillett. For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. FC Thun are 32nd in the table, on 0 points after 2 matches (0W 0D 2L), and HNK Hajduk Split are 8th, on 6 points (2W 0D 0L).
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–2 score estimate, roughly 4 goals in all, and 1–1 (10.2%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.45), and we rate it at 65%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 65% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 63% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 63%.
- Out: FC Thun 0, HNK Hajduk Split 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals (probability 63%, best price 1.55). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for FC Thun: no absences. Absent for HNK Hajduk Split: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.88 | 3.90 | 2.37 |
| Market average | 2.78 | 3.70 | 2.30 |
| Lowest odds | 2.63 | 3.47 | 2.16 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.13 | 82.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.55 | 1.49 | 62.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.51 | 37.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.24 | 42.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.45 | 1.42 | 65.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.75 | 2.67 | 34.8% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 22/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: FC Thun 1–1 HNK Hajduk Split, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: FC Thun 32nd (0 points), HNK Hajduk Split 8th (6 points).
- Absences: FC Thun 0, HNK Hajduk Split 0.
Who will win FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split: team news and absences
FC Thun
- No reported absences
HNK Hajduk Split
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2-0-0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 2 | 2-0-0 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Brann | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Twente | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 |  Monaco | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 |  St. Truiden | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 8 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 9 |  Brighton | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:0 | 4 |
| 10 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1-1-0 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 11 |  Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 2 | 1-1-0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 13 |  Ajax | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 14 |  Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 16 |  SC Braga | 2 | 1-0-1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 17 |  Gent | 2 | 1-0-1 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 18 |  SC Freiburg | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 19 |  FC Nordsjælland | 2 | 0-2-0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 21 |  Riga | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 22 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0-1-1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 24 |  FK Jablonec | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 25 |  FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 26 |  Aarhus | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 27 |  Pafos | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 28 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 30 |  Getafe | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 32 | FC Thun | 2 | 0-0-2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 34 |  KuPS | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:8 | 0 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Over 2.5 goals (1.55); Draw or HNK Hajduk Split (X2) (1.47).
Who will win FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split?
We estimate: FC Thun win 34%, draw 25%, HNK Hajduk Split win 41%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 22 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Stockhorn Arena, Thun. Referee: J. Gillett.
Who will be missing?
FC Thun: no absences. HNK Hajduk Split: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 63% (odds 1.55); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 37% (odds 2.63).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 65% (odds 1.45).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.2%), then 1–2 (8.7%) and 2–1 (7.9%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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