Premier League
Home › Predictions › Forest Green vs Chesham United
FA Cup · 4th Round Qualifying · 20 October 2026 · 19:45

Forest Green vs Chesham United: prediction, tip and odds, 20 October 2026, FA Cup

Forest Green
5–0
Chesham United
1Forest Green1.25
XDraw6.40
2Chesham United13.00

Best price · Updated 20/10/26, 18:00

FreshbetBet with Freshbet →
TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesAnalysisFAQ

Played: final score 5–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

It is Forest Green against Chesham United on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at The New Lawn (Nailsworth). Forest Green (76%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.

Forest Green vs Chesham United: tip and prediction
Handicap
Forest Green -1.25 (Asian handicap)
1.76
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.50
Combo
Forest Green + over 2.5 goals combined
1.82
55% · fair odds for the combo
62%Chance
2–0likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Forest Green or draw (1X): 92% probability, best odds 1.06. With short odds on the result, a goals tip alongside it is our suggestion.

Bet now →

Forest Green vs Chesham United: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

    What to expect

    For us, Forest Green are the more likely winners. We estimate a 3–1 score, roughly 4 goals in all, with 2–0 (12.0%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

    Odds of 1.25 on the result do not offer much, so it is worth turning to the goals markets: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), which we rate at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 46% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 63% chance.

    Prediction summary

    1. Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 63%.
    2. Out: Forest Green 0, Chesham United 0.

    Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

    Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 57%, best price 1.62). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.

    Absences

    Absent for Forest Green: no absences. Absent for Chesham United: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

    Forest Green vs Chesham United: compare the odds

    Match result1X2
    Best price1.256.4013.00
    Market average1.195.8911.11
    Lowest odds1.145.008.29
    GoalsBestAverageChance
    Over 1.5 goals1.151.1282.0%
    Over 2.5 goals1.501.4563.5%
    Under 2.5 goals2.632.5236.5%
    Over 3.5 goals2.202.1343.0%
    BTTS – yes2.032.0145.9%
    BTTS – no1.731.7054.1%

    Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 20/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 10.6%.

    All bookmakers →

    At a glance

    • Likely result: Forest Green 2–0 Chesham United, roughly 4 goals in total.
    • Absences: Forest Green 0, Chesham United 0.

    Who will win Forest Green vs Chesham United?

    Forest Green76%
    Draw15%
    Chesham United8%

    Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

    Forest Green vs Chesham United: more betting tips

    Forest Green or draw (1X)91.7% · fair odds 1.09 · best 1.06
    Likely
    Over 1.5 goals82.0% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.15
    Likely
    Forest Green to win76.3% · fair odds 1.31 · best 1.25
    Likely
    Over 2.5 goals63.5% · fair odds 1.58 · best 1.50
    Likely
    Under 3.5 goals57.0% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.62
    Possible
    BTTS – no54.1% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.73
    Possible
    BTTS – yes45.9% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.03
    Outsider
    Over 3.5 goals43.0% · fair odds 2.33 · best 2.20
    Outsider
    Under 2.5 goals36.5% · fair odds 2.74 · best 2.63
    Outsider
    Draw15.4% · fair odds 6.48 · best 6.40
    Outsider
    Chesham United to win8.3% · fair odds 12.05 · best 13.00
    Outsider

    Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

    Correct score prediction

    2 : 012.0%
    3 : 010.2%
    1 : 09.4%
    2 : 19.0%
    3 : 17.6%
    1 : 17.1%

    Forest Green vs Chesham United: team news and absences

    Forest Green

    • No reported absences

    Chesham United

    • No reported absences

    Changes are possible before kick-off.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 £
    Net profit0 £
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin10.6%

    Questions and answers

    What do we tip for Forest Green vs Chesham United?

    Forest Green -1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.76); Over 2.5 goals (1.50).

    Who will win Forest Green vs Chesham United?

    We estimate: Forest Green win 76%, draw 15%, Chesham United win 8%.

    Where and when is the game being played?

    Date: 20 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: The New Lawn, Nailsworth.

    Who will be missing?

    Forest Green: no absences. Chesham United: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

    Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

    We estimate over 2.5 goals at 63% (odds 1.50); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 37% (odds 2.63).

    Will both teams score?

    By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 46% (odds 2.03).

    Which correct score is the likeliest?

    We rate 2–0 as most likely (12.0%), then 3–0 (10.2%) and 1–0 (9.4%).

    What are your predictions based on?

    We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

    More predictions

    Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United 6 NovOxford City vs Leicester 6 NovCray Wanderers vs Stockport County 8 NovWimborne Town vs Crawley Town 8 NovOldham vs Sheffield Wednesday 8 Nov

    18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.