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EFL Cup · round of 16 · 28 October 2026 · 19:45

Fulham vs Crystal Palace: prediction, tip and odds, 28 October 2026, EFL Cup

1Fulham1.74
XDraw4.13
2Crystal Palace4.76

Best price · Updated 28/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Fulham v Crystal Palace: 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at Craven Cottage (London), with S. Hooper refereeing. We have Fulham (56%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

Fulham vs Crystal Palace: tip and prediction
Handicap
Crystal Palace +1 (Asian handicap)
1.72
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.54
Combo
Fulham + over 2.5 goals combined
2.66
38% · fair odds for the combo
57%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Fulham or draw (1X): 79% probability, best odds 1.22.

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Fulham vs Crystal Palace: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Attack and defence. On average Fulham score 3.0 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.0; for Crystal Palace the figures are 3.0 scored and 0.0 conceded.
  2. Form in the competition. Fulham: 2W 0D 0L, goals 6–2; Crystal Palace: 1W 0D 0L, goals 3–0.
  3. Head to head. From 17 meetings: 3 wins for Fulham, 8 wins for Crystal Palace and 6 draws, with the goals at 20–25.

What to expect

For us, Fulham are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.4%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.54), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 58% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 58% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 17; Fulham 3 wins, 6 draws, Crystal Palace 8 wins.
  2. An average of 2.6 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Fulham 6–2, Crystal Palace 3–0.
  4. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 58%.
  5. Out: Fulham 0, Crystal Palace 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals (probability 58%, best price 1.64). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Fulham: no absences. Absent for Crystal Palace: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Fulham vs Crystal Palace: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price1.744.134.76
Market average1.704.034.63
Lowest odds1.673.754.40
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1779.4%
Over 2.5 goals1.641.6258.4%
Under 2.5 goals2.342.2841.6%
Over 3.5 goals2.572.4637.8%
BTTS – yes1.621.5958.4%
BTTS – no2.302.2341.6%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 28/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.4%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Fulham 1–1 Crystal Palace, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Form in the competition: Fulham 2W 0D 0L (6:2), Crystal Palace 1W 0D 0L (3:0).
  • H2H: 17 matches: Fulham 3W 6D 8L, goals 20–25.
  • Absences: Fulham 0, Crystal Palace 0.

Who will win Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

Fulham56%
Draw24%
Crystal Palace21%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Fulham vs Crystal Palace: more betting tips

Fulham or draw (1X)79.5% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.22
Likely
Over 1.5 goals79.4% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.20
Likely
Under 3.5 goals62.2% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.54
Likely
Over 2.5 goals58.4% · fair odds 1.71 · best 1.64
Possible
BTTS – yes58.4% · fair odds 1.71 · best 1.62
Possible
Fulham to win55.9% · fair odds 1.79 · best 1.74
Possible
BTTS – no41.6% · fair odds 2.40 · best 2.30
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals41.6% · fair odds 2.40 · best 2.34
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals37.8% · fair odds 2.64 · best 2.57
Outsider
Draw23.6% · fair odds 4.24 · best 4.13
Outsider
Crystal Palace to win20.5% · fair odds 4.88 · best 4.76
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.82 · Under 1.93
probability of over 51.6%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.91 · Under 1.83
probability of over 48.9%

Correct score prediction

1 : 110.4%
2 : 19.9%
1 : 09.5%
2 : 09.0%
3 : 16.3%
1 : 25.7%

Fulham vs Crystal Palace: team news and absences

Fulham

  • No reported absences

Crystal Palace

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Team comparison

FulhamCrystal Palace
67%Form33%
67%Attack33%
0%Defence100%
7%Head to head93%
31%Goals69%
43.0%Overall57.0%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

FulhamWW
Crystal PalaceW

Head to head

All matches
3Fulham
6Draws
8Crystal Palace
5/9/26 · Fulham 2–3 Crystal Palace
7/8/26 · Fulham 1–2 Crystal Palace
1/1/26 · Crystal Palace 1–1 Fulham
7/12/25 · Fulham 1–2 Crystal Palace
29/3/25 · Fulham 0–3 Crystal Palace
22/2/25 · Fulham 0–2 Crystal Palace

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.4%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

Crystal Palace +1 (Asian handicap) (1.72); Under 3.5 goals (1.54).

Who will win Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

We estimate: Fulham win 56%, draw 24%, Crystal Palace win 21%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 28 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Craven Cottage, London. Referee: S. Hooper.

Who will be missing?

Fulham: no absences. Crystal Palace: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.64); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 42% (odds 2.34).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 58% (odds 1.62).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.4%), then 2–1 (9.9%) and 1–0 (9.5%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.