Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Harrogate Town play Bury at home on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at CNG Stadium (Harrogate). For us, Harrogate Town (54%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Harrogate Town vs Bury: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
What to expect
For us, Harrogate Town are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.3%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 58% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 59% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 59%.
- Out: Harrogate Town 0, Bury 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, best price 1.62). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Harrogate Town: no absences. Absent for Bury: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Harrogate Town vs Bury: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.73 | 4.40 | 4.33 |
| Market average | 1.67 | 3.95 | 4.00 |
| Lowest odds | 1.62 | 3.60 | 3.55 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.15 | 79.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 1.57 | 58.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.28 | 2.22 | 41.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.45 | 37.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.65 | 1.59 | 58.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.32 | 2.20 | 41.9% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 20/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 10.3%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Harrogate Town 1–1 Bury, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Absences: Harrogate Town 0, Bury 0.
Who will win Harrogate Town vs Bury?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Harrogate Town vs Bury: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Harrogate Town vs Bury: team news and absences
Harrogate Town
- No reported absences
Bury
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Harrogate Town vs Bury?
Bury +1 (Asian handicap) (1.85); Under 3.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win Harrogate Town vs Bury?
We estimate: Harrogate Town win 54%, draw 23%, Bury win 23%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 20 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: CNG Stadium, Harrogate.
Who will be missing?
Harrogate Town: no absences. Bury: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.62); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 41% (odds 2.28).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 58% (odds 1.65).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.3%), then 2–1 (9.8%) and 1–0 (9.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.