Premier League
Home › Predictions › Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos
UEFA Conference League · league phase, matchday 2 · 22 October 2026 · 15:30

Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos: prediction, tip and odds, 22 October 2026, UEFA Conference League

1Kairat Almaty5.70
XDraw4.15
2Panathinaikos1.68

Best price · Updated 22/10/26, 12:20

FreshbetBet with Freshbet →
TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisFAQ

Played: final score 1–5. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Kairat Almaty v Panathinaikos: 22 October 2026 · 15:30 at Almaty Central Stadium (Almaty), with A. Lindhout refereeing. We have Panathinaikos (58%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos: tip and prediction
Handicap
Kairat Almaty +1 (Asian handicap)
1.83
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.86
Combo
Panathinaikos + over 2.5 goals combined
2.71
37% · fair odds for the combo
54%Chance
0–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Panathinaikos (X2): 82% probability, best odds 1.18.

Bet now →

Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Kairat Almaty are 31st in the table, on 1 point after 2 matches (0W 1D 1L), and Panathinaikos are 1st, on 6 points (2W 0D 0L).

What to expect

For us, Panathinaikos are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 0–1 (11.2%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.86), and we rate it at 52%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 52% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 52% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 52%.
  2. Out: Kairat Almaty 0, Panathinaikos 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 52%, best price 1.83). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Kairat Almaty: no absences. Absent for Panathinaikos: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price5.704.151.68
Market average5.223.931.61
Lowest odds4.503.491.57
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.271.2475.2%
Over 2.5 goals1.861.8152.3%
Under 2.5 goals2.051.9847.7%
Over 3.5 goals3.102.9831.4%
BTTS – yes1.831.8051.6%
BTTS – no2.001.9248.4%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 22/10/26, 12:20. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.7%.

All bookmakers →

At a glance

  • Likely result: Kairat Almaty 0–1 Panathinaikos, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Kairat Almaty 31st (1 point), Panathinaikos 1st (6 points).
  • Absences: Kairat Almaty 0, Panathinaikos 0.

Who will win Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?

Kairat Almaty18%
Draw24%
Panathinaikos58%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos: more betting tips

Draw or Panathinaikos (X2)82.0% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.18
Likely
Over 1.5 goals75.2% · fair odds 1.33 · best 1.27
Likely
Under 3.5 goals68.6% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.42
Likely
Panathinaikos to win58.1% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.68
Possible
Over 2.5 goals52.3% · fair odds 1.91 · best 1.86
Possible
BTTS – yes51.6% · fair odds 1.94 · best 1.83
Possible
BTTS – no48.4% · fair odds 2.07 · best 2.00
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals47.7% · fair odds 2.10 · best 2.05
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals31.4% · fair odds 3.19 · best 3.10
Outsider
Draw23.9% · fair odds 4.19 · best 4.15
Outsider
Kairat Almaty to win18.0% · fair odds 5.55 · best 5.70
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.82 · Under 1.92
probability of over 51.3%

Correct score prediction

0 : 111.2%
1 : 110.7%
0 : 210.4%
1 : 29.9%
0 : 36.4%
1 : 36.1%

Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos: team news and absences

Kairat Almaty

  • No reported absences

Panathinaikos

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Panathinaikos22-0-07:26
2FC Lugano22-0-08:46
3Brann22-0-06:26
4Trabzonspor22-0-06:26
5Twente22-0-05:16
6Monaco22-0-05:16
7St. Truiden22-0-03:06
8HNK Hajduk Split22-0-03:16
9Brighton21-1-04:04
10FC Copenhagen21-1-05:24
11Universitatea Craiova21-1-04:24
12Mjällby AIF21-1-03:14
13Ajax21-0-13:23
14Borac Banja Luka21-0-13:23
15Atalanta21-0-13:33
16SC Braga21-0-12:33
17Gent21-0-11:23
18SC Freiburg21-0-13:53
19FC Nordsjælland20-2-03:32
20Egnatia Rrogozhinë20-2-02:22
21Riga20-2-02:22
22FK Crvena Zvezda20-1-14:51
23CSKA Sofia20-1-13:41
24FK Jablonec20-1-12:31
25FC Midtjylland20-1-11:21
26Aarhus20-1-11:21
27Pafos20-1-12:41
28Heart Of Midlothian20-1-11:31
29FC Iberia 199920-1-11:31
30Getafe20-1-13:61
31Kairat Almaty20-1-12:61
32FC Thun20-0-20:20
33Lincoln Red Imps FC20-0-22:60
34KuPS20-0-22:60
35Inter Club d'Escaldes20-0-21:50
36Kauno Žalgiris20-0-21:80

Recent matches

Kairat Almaty

22 OctLKairat Almaty 1–5 Panathinaikos
15 OctDRiga 1–1 Kairat Almaty

Panathinaikos

22 OctWKairat Almaty 1–5 Panathinaikos
15 OctWPanathinaikos 2–1 Borac Banja Luka
27 AugWHradec Králové 1–2 Panathinaikos
20 AugDPanathinaikos 2–2 Hradec Králové
11 AugWCSKA 1948 1–2 Panathinaikos

Home and away

Kairat Almaty at home1 match: 0W 0D 1L, goals 1–5
Panathinaikos away1 match: 1W 0D 0L, goals 5–1

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.7%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?

Kairat Almaty +1 (Asian handicap) (1.83); Over 2.5 goals (1.86).

Who will win Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?

We estimate: Kairat Almaty win 18%, draw 24%, Panathinaikos win 58%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 22 October 2026, kick-off: 15:30, venue: Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty. Referee: A. Lindhout.

Who will be missing?

Kairat Almaty: no absences. Panathinaikos: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.86); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 48% (odds 2.05).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 52% (odds 1.83).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 0–1 as most likely (11.2%), then 1–1 (10.7%) and 0–2 (10.4%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax 5 NovAarhus vs SC Braga 5 NovAtalanta vs Kairat Almaty 5 NovFK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes 5 NovLincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split 5 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.