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KNVB Cup · round 64 · 28 October 2026 · 19:00

PEC Zwolle vs FC OSS: prediction, tip and odds, 28 October 2026, KNVB Cup

1–2
FC OSS
1PEC Zwolle1.31
XDraw5.75
2FC OSS9.00

Best price · Updated 28/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

It is PEC Zwolle against FC OSS on 28 October 2026 · 19:00 at MAC³PARK Stadion (Zwolle), and R. Martens will referee. PEC Zwolle (72%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.

PEC Zwolle vs FC OSS: tip and prediction
Handicap
FC OSS +1.75 (Asian handicap)
1.80
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.53
Combo
PEC Zwolle + over 2.5 goals combined
2.00
50% · fair odds for the combo
54%Chance
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: PEC Zwolle or draw (1X): 89% probability, best odds 1.08.

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PEC Zwolle vs FC OSS: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

    What to expect

    For us, PEC Zwolle are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–0 (11.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

    In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.53), and we rate it at 61%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 50% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 61% chance.

    Prediction summary

    1. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 61%.
    2. Out: PEC Zwolle 0, FC OSS 0.

    Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

    Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, best price 1.57). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

    Absences

    Absent for PEC Zwolle: no absences. Absent for FC OSS: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

    PEC Zwolle vs FC OSS: compare the odds

    Match result1X2
    Best price1.315.759.00
    Market average1.295.398.72
    Lowest odds1.285.058.36
    GoalsBestAverageChance
    Over 1.5 goals1.141.1381.9%
    Over 2.5 goals1.531.5161.2%
    Under 2.5 goals2.432.3938.8%
    Over 3.5 goals2.342.2940.6%
    BTTS – yes1.831.8350.1%
    BTTS – no1.851.8449.9%

    Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 28/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.4%.

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    At a glance

    • Likely result: PEC Zwolle 2–0 FC OSS, roughly 3 goals in total.
    • Absences: PEC Zwolle 0, FC OSS 0.

    Who will win PEC Zwolle vs FC OSS?

    PEC Zwolle72%
    Draw17%
    FC OSS11%

    Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

    PEC Zwolle vs FC OSS: more betting tips

    PEC Zwolle or draw (1X)89.3% · fair odds 1.12 · best 1.08
    Likely
    Over 1.5 goals81.9% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.14
    Likely
    PEC Zwolle to win72.0% · fair odds 1.39 · best 1.31
    Likely
    Over 2.5 goals61.2% · fair odds 1.63 · best 1.53
    Likely
    Under 3.5 goals59.4% · fair odds 1.68 · best 1.57
    Possible
    BTTS – yes50.1% · fair odds 1.99 · best 1.83
    Possible
    BTTS – no49.9% · fair odds 2.01 · best 1.85
    Outsider
    Over 3.5 goals40.6% · fair odds 2.46 · best 2.34
    Outsider
    Under 2.5 goals38.8% · fair odds 2.58 · best 2.43
    Outsider
    Draw17.3% · fair odds 5.78 · best 5.75
    Outsider
    FC OSS to win10.7% · fair odds 9.36 · best 9.00
    Outsider

    Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

    Correct score prediction

    2 : 011.8%
    1 : 010.1%
    2 : 19.5%
    3 : 09.3%
    1 : 18.1%
    3 : 17.4%

    PEC Zwolle vs FC OSS: team news and absences

    PEC Zwolle

    • No reported absences

    FC OSS

    • No reported absences

    Changes are possible before kick-off.

    Team comparison

    PEC ZwolleFC OSS
    100%Head to head0%
    90%Goals10%
    90.0%Overall10.0%

    Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 £
    Net profit0 £
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin7.4%

    Questions and answers

    What do we tip for PEC Zwolle vs FC OSS?

    FC OSS +1.75 (Asian handicap) (1.80); Over 2.5 goals (1.53).

    Who will win PEC Zwolle vs FC OSS?

    We estimate: PEC Zwolle win 72%, draw 17%, FC OSS win 11%.

    Where and when is the game being played?

    Date: 28 October 2026, kick-off: 19:00, venue: MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle. Referee: R. Martens.

    Who will be missing?

    PEC Zwolle: no absences. FC OSS: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

    Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

    We estimate over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.53); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 39% (odds 2.43).

    Will both teams score?

    By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 50% (odds 1.83).

    Which correct score is the likeliest?

    We rate 2–0 as most likely (11.8%), then 1–0 (10.1%) and 2–1 (9.5%).

    What are your predictions based on?

    We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

    18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.