Bet with Freshbet →Shrewsbury v Oldham: 14 November 2026 · 15:00 at The Croud Meadow (Shrewsbury). We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Shrewsbury vs Oldham betting prediction
Shrewsbury host Oldham at The Croud Meadow on 14 November 2026, kick-off 15:00, in League Two matchweek 15. The home side sit 15th and Oldham 21st, yet the bookmakers lean slightly towards the visitors on the result. We think the most sensible money goes on Oldham not losing, and we explain why below.
Shrewsbury's home record has been uneven
In League Two this season, Shrewsbury have 18 points from 14 matches, with 5 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats. They have scored 17 and conceded 22, which is 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. At home, in this competition only, the record is 3 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats, with 8 scored and 8 conceded. That is not a fortress, and it is not a side that has been pushed off the pitch either.
Their last five matches in all competitions began with a 0-1 home defeat to Exeter City, followed by a 1-0 home win over Bristol Rovers. They then won 3-2 at Crawley Town, drew 3-3 at Rotherham and lost 1-2 at home to Gillingham. The Counts for those five are two wins, one draw and two defeats, with 8 goals scored and 8 conceded.
Oldham are winless away from home
Oldham have 12 points from 13 matches in this competition, with 3 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats. They have 14 goals for and 19 against, so 1.1 scored and 1.5 conceded per match. The number that stands out is away from home: no wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats, with 3 goals scored and 11 conceded. A side that cannot win on the road is a side we would not back to win one.
In all competitions, Oldham's last five opened with a goalless home draw against Accrington Stanley, followed by a 4-1 home win over Cheltenham. Then came a 0-3 defeat at Walsall, a 1-1 draw at Barnet and a 0-1 home defeat to Crawley Town. The Counts for those five show one win, two draws and two defeats, with 5 scored and 6 conceded. Their goals have dried up in recent weeks, and their last-match record is better than their away record suggests.
No meetings on record and no fresh injury news
We have no earlier meeting between these two sides to lean on, so the head-to-head offers nothing here. Neither club has an absence reported, which means we are looking at the squads as they are presented rather than guessing at who might be missing. That leaves the form figures and the market to carry the case.
Odds, chances and our main tip
The bookmakers' chances are Shrewsbury 35 per cent at best odds of 2.70, the draw 28 per cent at 3.45, and Oldham 37 per cent at 2.50. The bookmaker margin on the match result is 8.5 per cent, so the prices are not generous. The table points one way and the market points the other, and the market is the better guide to who is likely to win here.
Our main tip is Draw or Oldham (X2) at odds 1.50 (chance 65%). We like it because the market gives it 65 per cent at best odds of 1.50, and we see no reason to go against that on a side that has lost its last home match and has not won away all season. The tip wins on 1-1, 0-1, 0-0 and 1-2, and loses on 1-0 and 2-1. We accept that risk at this price.
Our second tip is Both teams to score at odds 1.80 (chance 52%). Both teams scored in 3 of Shrewsbury's last 5 matches, and Shrewsbury failed to score in only 1 of them. The expected total is about 2 goals, and the market gives it 52 per cent at 1.80. The rounded expected goals show 1 for each side, which is about 2 in total, so the case is not overwhelming. It wins on 1-1, 1-2 and 2-1, and loses on 0-0, 1-0 and 0-1.
Other bets we would consider
We are happy to stay with the main tip and add a couple of bets that sit alongside it rather than against it:
- Under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30 (chance 73%). The bookmakers expect fewer than four goals in most outcomes, and this is the safest price on the list.
- Oldham +0.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.50 (chance 63%). At +0.5 the bet wins unless Oldham lose by 1 or more, so it covers a draw as well as an Oldham win.
Oldham's away form is poor, but the bookmakers still see them as a fraction of a chance ahead on the result. We would rather take the draw or the visitors to avoid defeat than back Shrewsbury at 2.70. Stake sensibly, because the margin is not generous and a single goal can change everything.
Shrewsbury vs Oldham: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.70 | 3.45 | 2.50 |
| Market average | 2.65 | 3.28 | 2.49 |
| Lowest odds | 2.62 | 3.10 | 2.45 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 | 1.30 | 71.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 1.97 | 47.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.79 | 52.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.50 | 3.35 | 27.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.76 | 52.5% |
| BTTS – no | 1.98 | 1.94 | 47.5% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 3/11/26, 16:27. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.5%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Shrewsbury 1–1 Oldham, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Shrewsbury 15th (18 points), Oldham 18th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Shrewsbury 5W 3D 6L (17:22), Oldham 4W 3D 7L (15:19).
- H2H: 16 matches: Shrewsbury 9W 2D 5L, goals 20–17.
- Absences: Shrewsbury 0, Oldham 0.
Who will win Shrewsbury vs Oldham?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Shrewsbury vs Oldham: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Shrewsbury vs Oldham: team news and absences
Shrewsbury
- No reported absences
Oldham
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 | Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Shrewsbury
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
ShrewsburyLDWWLOldhamWLDLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Shrewsbury vs Oldham?
Draw or Oldham (X2) (1.50); Both teams to score (1.80).
Who will win Shrewsbury vs Oldham?
We estimate: Shrewsbury win 35%, draw 28%, Oldham win 37%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 14 November 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: The Croud Meadow, Shrewsbury.
Who will be missing?
Shrewsbury: no absences. Oldham: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.00); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 52% (odds 1.80).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 52% (odds 1.80).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.7%), then 0–1 (10.2%) and 1–0 (9.8%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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