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League Two · Matchweek 14 · 31 October 2026 · 15:00

Shrewsbury vs Gillingham: prediction, tip and odds, 31 October 2026, League Two

1–2
1Shrewsbury2.02
XDraw3.45
2Gillingham4.20

Best price · Updated 31/10/26, 13:41

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Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Shrewsbury v Gillingham: 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at New Meadow (Shrewsbury), with N. Hair refereeing. We have Shrewsbury (48%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

Shrewsbury vs Gillingham: tip and prediction
Handicap
Gillingham +0.5 (Asian handicap)
1.89
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.76
52%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Shrewsbury or draw (1X): 76% probability, best odds 1.30.

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Shrewsbury vs Gillingham: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Shrewsbury are 15th in the table, on 18 points after 14 matches (5W 3D 6L), and Gillingham are 8th, on 20 points (5W 5D 4L).
  2. Attack and defence. On average Shrewsbury score 1.2 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.5; for Gillingham the figures are 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Shrewsbury: 5W 3D 5L, goals 16–20; Gillingham: 4W 5D 4L, goals 18–18.
  4. Head to head. From 21 meetings: 7 wins for Shrewsbury, 4 wins for Gillingham and 10 draws, with the goals at 29–24.

What to expect

For us, Shrewsbury are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (12.3%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.

In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.76), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 51% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 46% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 21; Shrewsbury 7 wins, 10 draws, Gillingham 4 wins.
  2. An average of 2.5 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Shrewsbury 16–20, Gillingham 18–18.
  4. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 46%.
  5. Out: Shrewsbury 0, Gillingham 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 51%, best price 1.87). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Shrewsbury: no absences. Absent for Gillingham: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Shrewsbury vs Gillingham: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price2.023.454.20
Market average1.943.303.84
Lowest odds1.902.933.20
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.351.3270.0%
Over 2.5 goals2.092.0446.0%
Under 2.5 goals1.761.7454.0%
Over 3.5 goals3.803.6225.7%
BTTS – yes1.871.8350.6%
BTTS – no1.911.8749.4%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 13:41. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.0%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Shrewsbury 1–1 Gillingham, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Shrewsbury 15th (18 points), Gillingham 8th (20 points).
  • Form in the competition: Shrewsbury 5W 3D 5L (16:20), Gillingham 4W 5D 4L (18:18).
  • H2H: 21 matches: Shrewsbury 7W 10D 4L, goals 29–24.
  • Absences: Shrewsbury 0, Gillingham 0.

Who will win Shrewsbury vs Gillingham?

Shrewsbury48%
Draw28%
Gillingham24%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Shrewsbury vs Gillingham: more betting tips

Shrewsbury or draw (1X)75.8% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.30
Likely
Under 3.5 goals74.3% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.28
Likely
Over 1.5 goals70.0% · fair odds 1.43 · best 1.35
Likely
Under 2.5 goals54.0% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.76
Possible
BTTS – yes50.6% · fair odds 1.98 · best 1.87
Possible
BTTS – no49.4% · fair odds 2.02 · best 1.91
Outsider
Shrewsbury to win47.7% · fair odds 2.10 · best 2.02
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals46.0% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.09
Outsider
Draw28.1% · fair odds 3.56 · best 3.45
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals25.7% · fair odds 3.89 · best 3.80
Outsider
Gillingham to win24.2% · fair odds 4.13 · best 4.20
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.07 · Under 1.68
probability of over 44.8%

Correct score prediction

1 : 112.3%
1 : 012.3%
2 : 19.2%
2 : 09.2%
0 : 18.2%
0 : 08.2%

Shrewsbury vs Gillingham: team news and absences

Shrewsbury

  • No reported absences

Gillingham

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Salford City1410-1-325:1531
2Barnet137-5-128:1826
3Walsall135-7-121:1222
4Crewe145-7-217:1722
5Cheltenham146-3-523:2521
6Grimsby145-5-424:1820
7York145-5-424:2120
8Gillingham145-5-420:1920
9Accrington ST144-7-323:1719
10Chesterfield145-4-524:2119
11Tranmere144-7-319:1719
12Exeter City145-4-511:919
13Swindon Town145-4-515:1719
14Newport County144-6-420:1718
15Shrewsbury145-3-617:2218
16Fleetwood Town144-5-518:1817
17Bristol Rovers145-1-817:2316
18Oldham144-3-715:1915
19Port Vale124-3-510:1415
20Rochdale144-3-717:2615
21Northampton133-5-59:1014
22Rotherham142-6-618:2512
23Colchester132-6-512:1912
24Crawley Town122-3-713:219

Recent matches

Shrewsbury

31 OctLShrewsbury 1–2 Gillingham
24 OctDRotherham 3–3 Shrewsbury
20 OctWCrawley Town 2–3 Shrewsbury
17 OctWShrewsbury 1–0 Bristol Rovers
10 OctLShrewsbury 0–1 Exeter City

Gillingham

31 OctWShrewsbury 1–2 Gillingham
24 OctLGillingham 1–4 Grimsby
20 OctDGillingham 1–1 Port Vale
17 OctLAccrington ST 3–1 Gillingham
10 OctWRotherham 1–4 Gillingham

Home and away

Shrewsbury at home7 matches: 3W 1D 3L, goals 8–8
Gillingham away7 matches: 3W 2D 2L, goals 12–10

Team comparison

ShrewsburyGillingham
67%Form33%
56%Attack44%
56%Defence44%
50%Head to head50%
50%Goals50%
53.5%Overall46.5%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

ShrewsburyLDWWL
GillinghamWLDLW

Head to head

All matches
7Shrewsbury
10Draws
4Gillingham
31/10/26 · Shrewsbury 1–2 Gillingham
2/5/26 · Gillingham 1–0 Shrewsbury
29/11/25 · Shrewsbury 3–3 Gillingham
25/1/22 · Gillingham 0–0 Shrewsbury
28/8/21 · Shrewsbury 2–1 Gillingham
10/4/21 · Gillingham 0–0 Shrewsbury

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.0%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Shrewsbury vs Gillingham?

Gillingham +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.89); Under 2.5 goals (1.76).

Who will win Shrewsbury vs Gillingham?

We estimate: Shrewsbury win 48%, draw 28%, Gillingham win 24%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: New Meadow, Shrewsbury. Referee: N. Hair.

Who will be missing?

Shrewsbury: no absences. Gillingham: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.09); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 54% (odds 1.76).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 51% (odds 1.87).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.3%), then 1–0 (12.3%) and 2–1 (9.2%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Exeter City vs Cheltenham 14 NovRotherham vs Crawley Town 14 NovBristol Rovers vs Chesterfield 14 NovRochdale vs York 14 NovWalsall vs Barnet 14 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.