Czech Cup
Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Sparta Praha against Baník Ostrava on 28 October 2026 · 17:30 at epet ARENA (Prague), and J. Wulkan will referee. Sparta Praha (77%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Attack and defence. On average Sparta Praha score 5.0 goals a match in the competition and concede 0.0; for Baník Ostrava the figures are 5.5 scored and 0.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Sparta Praha: 1W 0D 0L, goals 5–0; Baník Ostrava: 2W 0D 0L, goals 11–1.
What to expect
For us, Sparta Praha are the more likely winners. We estimate a 3–1 score, roughly 4 goals in all, with 2–0 (11.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
Odds of 1.23 on the result do not offer much, so it is worth turning to the goals markets: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), which we rate at 66%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 48% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 66% chance.
Prediction summary
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Sparta Praha 5–0, Baník Ostrava 11–1.
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 66%.
- Out: Sparta Praha 0, Baník Ostrava 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 55%, best price 1.74). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Sparta Praha: no absences. Absent for Baník Ostrava: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.23 | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| Market average | 1.18 | 6.28 | 11.32 |
| Lowest odds | 1.15 | 5.32 | 8.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.11 | 83.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.47 | 1.41 | 65.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.80 | 2.70 | 34.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.08 | 44.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.00 | 1.94 | 47.7% |
| BTTS – no | 1.85 | 1.76 | 52.3% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 28/10/26, 16:46. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 9.8%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Sparta Praha 2–0 Baník Ostrava, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: Sparta Praha 1W 0D 0L (5:0), Baník Ostrava 2W 0D 0L (11:1).
- Absences: Sparta Praha 0, Baník Ostrava 0.
Who will win Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava: team news and absences
Sparta Praha
- No reported absences
Baník Ostrava
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Sparta PrahaWBaník OstravaWWReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava?
Baník Ostrava +2 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Over 2.5 goals (1.47).
Who will win Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava?
We estimate: Sparta Praha win 77%, draw 15%, Baník Ostrava win 8%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 28 October 2026, kick-off: 17:30, venue: epet ARENA, Prague. Referee: J. Wulkan.
Who will be missing?
Sparta Praha: no absences. Baník Ostrava: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 66% (odds 1.47); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 34% (odds 2.80).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 48% (odds 2.00).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–0 as most likely (11.9%), then 3–0 (10.3%) and 1–0 (9.1%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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