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FA Cup · 4th Round Qualifying · 20 October 2026 · 19:45

United of Manchester vs Altrincham: prediction, tip and odds, 20 October 2026, FA Cup

United of Manchester
2–6
Altrincham
1United of Manchester3.40
XDraw4.00
2Altrincham2.03

Best price · Updated 20/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 2–6. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

United of Manchester play Altrincham at home on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at Broadhurst Park (Manchester). For us, Altrincham (47%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.

United of Manchester vs Altrincham: tip and prediction
Handicap
United of Manchester +1 (Asian handicap)
1.50
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.50
65%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Altrincham (X2): 71% probability, best odds 1.33.

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United of Manchester vs Altrincham: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

    What to expect

    For us, Altrincham are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

    In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 60% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 59% chance.

    Prediction summary

    1. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 59%.
    2. Out: United of Manchester 0, Altrincham 0.

    Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

    Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 60%, best price 1.55). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

    Absences

    Absent for United of Manchester: no absences. Absent for Altrincham: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

    United of Manchester vs Altrincham: compare the odds

    Match result1X2
    Best price3.404.002.03
    Market average3.153.751.93
    Lowest odds2.863.501.88
    GoalsBestAverageChance
    Over 1.5 goals1.191.1778.6%
    Over 2.5 goals1.591.5658.9%
    Under 2.5 goals2.382.2441.1%
    Over 3.5 goals2.462.4237.7%
    BTTS – yes1.551.5459.9%
    BTTS – no2.402.3040.1%

    Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 20/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 10.3%.

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    At a glance

    • Likely result: United of Manchester 1–1 Altrincham, roughly 3 goals in total.
    • Absences: United of Manchester 0, Altrincham 0.

    Who will win United of Manchester vs Altrincham?

    United of Manchester29%
    Draw24%
    Altrincham47%

    Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

    United of Manchester vs Altrincham: more betting tips

    Over 1.5 goals78.6% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.19
    Likely
    Draw or Altrincham (X2)71.2% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.33
    Likely
    Under 3.5 goals62.3% · fair odds 1.60 · best 1.50
    Likely
    BTTS – yes59.9% · fair odds 1.67 · best 1.55
    Possible
    Over 2.5 goals58.9% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.59
    Possible
    Altrincham to win46.9% · fair odds 2.13 · best 2.03
    Outsider
    Under 2.5 goals41.1% · fair odds 2.43 · best 2.38
    Outsider
    BTTS – no40.1% · fair odds 2.50 · best 2.40
    Outsider
    Over 3.5 goals37.7% · fair odds 2.65 · best 2.46
    Outsider
    United of Manchester to win28.8% · fair odds 3.47 · best 3.40
    Outsider
    Draw24.2% · fair odds 4.13 · best 4.00
    Outsider

    Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

    Tips on corners and cards

    Cornersline 10.5 corners
    Over 2.09 · Under 1.67
    probability of over 44.5%

    Correct score prediction

    1 : 110.8%
    1 : 29.4%
    0 : 18.3%
    0 : 27.3%
    2 : 17.0%
    1 : 06.2%

    United of Manchester vs Altrincham: team news and absences

    United of Manchester

    • No reported absences

    Altrincham

    • No reported absences

    Changes are possible before kick-off.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 £
    Net profit0 £
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin10.3%

    Questions and answers

    What do we tip for United of Manchester vs Altrincham?

    United of Manchester +1 (Asian handicap) (1.50); Under 3.5 goals (1.50).

    Who will win United of Manchester vs Altrincham?

    We estimate: United of Manchester win 29%, draw 24%, Altrincham win 47%.

    Where and when is the game being played?

    Date: 20 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Broadhurst Park, Manchester.

    Who will be missing?

    United of Manchester: no absences. Altrincham: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

    Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

    We estimate over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.59); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 41% (odds 2.38).

    Will both teams score?

    By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 60% (odds 1.55).

    Which correct score is the likeliest?

    We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.8%), then 1–2 (9.4%) and 0–1 (8.3%).

    What are your predictions based on?

    We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

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    18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.