Vendée Fontenay vs Clermont Foot: prediction, tip and odds, 14 November 2026, Coupe de France

Vendée Fontenay vs Clermont Foot betting prediction

Vendée Fontenay host Clermont Foot in the Coupe de France 1/128‑final on 14 November 2026 at 15:00. The bookmakers see a clear favourite in Clermont, but the market also offers an attractive price on a no‑goal scenario.

Vendée Fontenay at home

Vendée Fontenay are the lower‑ranked side in this tie. Their chance to win outright is listed at 7 % with best odds of 23.00, while a draw carries an 11 % chance at 11.70. Expected goals for the home team are 1, indicating limited attacking firepower. No absences have been reported for Vendée, so they should be close to a full‑strength line‑up. In the Coupe de France they will be playing at their own ground, which gives them the usual home advantage, but the market’s low win probability reflects the gap in quality compared with a Ligue 2 side such as Clermont.

Clermont Foot’s recent form

Clermont Foot arrive after five matches across all competitions. Their record in those games is 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, with 7 goals scored and 9 conceded. Both teams have found the net in three of the five matches, and more than 2.5 goals have been recorded in two of them. The breakdown of the five most recent results is as follows:

• 10 October 2026 – Home – Clermont Foot 2 – 3 RED Star FC 93 (defeat)
• 16 October 2026 – Away – Laval 3 – 3 Clermont Foot (draw)
• 23 October 2026 – Home – Clermont Foot 0 – 2 Guingamp (defeat)
• 30 October 2026 – Away – Nantes 1 – 1 Clermont Foot (draw)
• 7 November 2026 – Home – Clermont Foot 1 – 0 Rodez (win)

The most recent win, a 1‑0 victory over Rodez at home, shows that Clermont can keep a clean sheet when they find the net. However, the two defeats, especially the 2‑0 loss to Guingamp at home, demonstrate that they are vulnerable defensively, conceding three goals in the loss to RED Star FC 93 and two in the Guingamp match. Their away form includes a high‑scoring 3‑3 draw at Laval and a 1‑1 draw at Nantes, suggesting that when playing away they are capable of both scoring and conceding.

Overall, the market gives Clermont an 82 % chance to win at odds of 1.18, and their expected goals are 3, suggesting a dominant offensive display. The 75 % chance of over 2.5 goals (best odds 1.28) and the 89 % chance of over 1.5 goals (best odds 1.06) reinforce the expectation of a high‑scoring encounter, albeit potentially skewed towards Clermont.

No head‑to‑head history and full squads

There is no recorded previous meeting between Vendée Fontenay and Clermont Foot, so no direct historical pattern can be applied. Both clubs have reported no absences, meaning each side is expected to field its usual players. This lack of missing personnel removes any uncertainty about squad strength and puts the focus squarely on the relative quality of the two teams.

Odds, main tip and second tip

Our main tip is Both teams to score: no at odds 2.00 (51 % chance). The market’s own assessment gives this outcome a slight edge, and the price makes it worthwhile.

• The market gives at least one team failing to score a 51 % chance.
• The best price available is 2.00, offering decent value.
• A 51 % chance at 2.00 represents a small but positive edge.

The second tip is Clermont Foot to win at odds 1.18 (82 % chance). With such a high implied probability, Clermont is the clear favourite and the bet settles on the same likely scores that support the main tip.

The likeliest scorelines that underpin both tips are:

• 0‑3 wins for Clermont (10.1 % probability)
• 0‑2 wins for Clermont (9.7 % probability)
• 1‑3 wins for Clermont (8.0 % probability)
• 0‑4 wins for Clermont (probability not listed but included in the tip analysis)
• 1‑2 wins for Clermont (probability not listed but included in the tip analysis)
• 0‑1 win for Clermont (probability not listed but included in the tip analysis)

These scores show a clear pattern, which aligns with the “Both teams to score – no” recommendation.

Other bets to consider

Beyond the two primary tips, several additional markets offer value that is consistent with the overall expectations for this match.

• Over 2.5 goals at odds 1.28 (chance 75 %).
• Clermont Foot –1.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.42 (chance 68 %). This bet requires Clermont to win by at least two goals.
• Clermont Foot –1.75 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.49 (chance 66 %). Half the stake is on –2 (win by three or more) and half on –1.5 (win by two or more).
• Clermont Foot –2 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.64 (chance 61 %). This bet needs a win by three or more goals, with a two‑goal win returning half the stake.
• Over 3.5 goals at odds 1.76 (chance 56 %).
• Under 3.5 goals at odds 2.25 (chance 44 %).
• Vendée Fontenay +2 (Asian handicap) at odds 3.30 (chance 39 %). This bet wins unless Vendée loses by three or more.
• Vendée Fontenay +1.75 (Asian handicap) at odds 3.55 (chance 34 %). Half the stake on +1.5 and half on +2.
• Vendée Fontenay +1.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 3.90 (chance 32 %).

The Asian handicap figures illustrate the market’s view of the margin between the sides: a 61 % chance for Clermont –2 versus a 39 % chance for Vendée +2, reinforcing the expectation of a comfortable win for Clermont. The over/under markets also reflect the high probability of multiple goals, with a 75 % chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56 % chance of over 3.5 goals.

Match outlook and likely scoreline

Taking into account the recent form of Clermont Foot, their expected 3 goals, and the modest 1 expected goal for Vendée Fontenay, the most probable final scorelines centre around a three‑goal margin for the visitors.

Given the lack of a historical head‑to‑head and the full‑strength squads on both sides, the decisive factor is the quality gap demonstrated by Clermont’s recent performances, especially their ability to score three goals away at Laval and to keep a clean sheet at home against Rodez. Vendée Fontenay’s limited attacking output (expected 1 goal) and the absence of any reported injuries suggest they will struggle to break down a Clermont side that has already shown a propensity to score multiple goals.

In summary, the bookmakers’ odds, the recent form data, expected goal values and the most likely scorelines all point to a dominant performance by Clermont Foot, with Vendée Fontenay likely to remain scoreless. Backing both the “Both teams to score – no” market and the Clermont win provides a coherent strategy that aligns with the prevailing market expectations.