Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Worcester City play Chorley at home on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at St. George's Lane (Worcester). For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Worcester City vs Chorley: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (11.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.63), and we rate it at 56%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 56% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 52% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 52%.
- Out: Worcester City 0, Chorley 0.
Alternative tip: Draw or Chorley (X2)
Alternative tip: Draw or Chorley (X2) (probability 63%, best price 1.50). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Worcester City: no absences. Absent for Chorley: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Worcester City vs Chorley: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.65 | 3.75 | 2.55 |
| Market average | 2.47 | 3.47 | 2.45 |
| Lowest odds | 2.40 | 3.38 | 2.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.23 | 73.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.77 | 52.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 1.95 | 47.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.84 | 32.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.63 | 1.63 | 56.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.12 | 2.10 | 43.6% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 20/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 10.2%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Worcester City 1–1 Chorley, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Absences: Worcester City 0, Chorley 0.
Who will win Worcester City vs Chorley?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Worcester City vs Chorley: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Worcester City vs Chorley: team news and absences
Worcester City
- No reported absences
Chorley
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Worcester City vs Chorley?
Worcester City +0 (Asian handicap) (1.92); Both teams to score (1.63).
Who will win Worcester City vs Chorley?
We estimate: Worcester City win 37%, draw 26%, Chorley win 37%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 20 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: St. George's Lane, Worcester.
Who will be missing?
Worcester City: no absences. Chorley: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.80); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 48% (odds 2.00).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 56% (odds 1.63).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.9%), then 0–1 (8.5%) and 1–0 (8.5%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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