Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Arosa play Pontevedra at home on 27 October 2026 · 20:00 at Estadio Municipal da Lomba (Vilagarcía de Arousa). For us, Pontevedra (52%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Arosa vs Pontevedra: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Head to head. From 4 meetings: 2 wins for Arosa, 1 win for Pontevedra and 1 draw, with the goals at 6–3.
What to expect
For us, Pontevedra are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.4%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.75), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 54% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 52% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 4; Arosa 2 wins, 1 draw, Pontevedra 1 win.
- An average of 2.3 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 52%.
- Out: Arosa 0, Pontevedra 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 54%, best price 1.75). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Arosa: no absences. Absent for Pontevedra: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Arosa vs Pontevedra: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 4.75 | 3.75 | 1.81 |
| Market average | 4.26 | 3.58 | 1.76 |
| Lowest odds | 3.70 | 3.21 | 1.73 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.24 | 73.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.87 | 1.81 | 51.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.97 | 1.93 | 48.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.89 | 31.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.72 | 53.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.02 | 2.00 | 46.3% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.5%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Arosa 1–1 Pontevedra, roughly 3 goals in total.
- H2H: 4 matches: Arosa 2W 1D 1L, goals 6–3.
- Absences: Arosa 0, Pontevedra 0.
Who will win Arosa vs Pontevedra?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Arosa vs Pontevedra: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Arosa vs Pontevedra: team news and absences
Arosa
- No reported absences
Pontevedra
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Head to head
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Arosa vs Pontevedra?
Over 2.5 goals (1.87); Pontevedra to win (1.81).
Who will win Arosa vs Pontevedra?
We estimate: Arosa win 22%, draw 26%, Pontevedra win 52%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 27 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Estadio Municipal da Lomba, Vilagarcía de Arousa.
Who will be missing?
Arosa: no absences. Pontevedra: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.87); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 48% (odds 1.97).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 54% (odds 1.75).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.4%), then 0–1 (11.4%) and 1–2 (9.7%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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