Premier League
Home › Predictions › Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandés
Copa del Rey · round 128 · 27 October 2026 · 19:00

Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandés: prediction, tip and odds, 27 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Atlético Tordesillas
3–3
Mirandés
1Atlético Tordesillas5.25
XDraw3.95
2Mirandés1.71

Best price · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

FreshbetBet with Freshbet →
TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesAnalysisFAQ

Played: final score 3–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

It is Atlético Tordesillas against Mirandés on 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at Estadio Las Salinas. Mirandés (56%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.

Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandés: tip and prediction
Goals
Both teams to score
1.95
Result
Mirandés to win
1.71
Combo
Mirandés + over 2.5 goals combined
2.93
34% · fair odds for the combo
50%Chance
0–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Mirandés (X2): 81% probability, best odds 1.18.

Bet now →

Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandés: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

    What to expect

    For us, Mirandés are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 0–1 (11.8%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.

    In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.90), and we rate it at 51%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 50% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 51% chance.

    Prediction summary

    1. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 51%.
    2. Out: Atlético Tordesillas 0, Mirandés 0.

    Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

    Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 50%, best price 1.95). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

    Absences

    Absent for Atlético Tordesillas: no absences. Absent for Mirandés: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

    Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandés: compare the odds

    Match result1X2
    Best price5.253.951.71
    Market average4.853.801.66
    Lowest odds4.603.601.62
    GoalsBestAverageChance
    Over 1.5 goals1.281.2673.3%
    Over 2.5 goals1.901.8450.8%
    Under 2.5 goals1.941.9049.2%
    Over 3.5 goals3.253.0230.5%
    BTTS – yes1.951.8350.5%
    BTTS – no1.911.8749.5%

    Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.4%.

    All bookmakers →

    At a glance

    • Likely result: Atlético Tordesillas 0–1 Mirandés, roughly 3 goals in total.
    • Absences: Atlético Tordesillas 0, Mirandés 0.

    Who will win Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandés?

    Atlético Tordesillas19%
    Draw25%
    Mirandés56%

    Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

    Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandés: more betting tips

    Draw or Mirandés (X2)80.8% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.18
    Likely
    Over 1.5 goals73.3% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.28
    Likely
    Under 3.5 goals69.5% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.35
    Likely
    Mirandés to win56.3% · fair odds 1.78 · best 1.71
    Possible
    Over 2.5 goals50.8% · fair odds 1.97 · best 1.90
    Possible
    BTTS – yes50.5% · fair odds 1.98 · best 1.95
    Possible
    BTTS – no49.5% · fair odds 2.02 · best 1.91
    Outsider
    Under 2.5 goals49.2% · fair odds 2.03 · best 1.94
    Outsider
    Over 3.5 goals30.5% · fair odds 3.28 · best 3.25
    Outsider
    Draw24.5% · fair odds 4.08 · best 3.95
    Outsider
    Atlético Tordesillas to win19.2% · fair odds 5.20 · best 5.25
    Outsider

    Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

    Tips on corners and cards

    Cornersline 10.5 corners
    Over 1.86 · Under 1.86
    probability of over 50.0%

    Correct score prediction

    0 : 111.8%
    1 : 111.2%
    0 : 210.3%
    1 : 29.8%
    0 : 06.7%
    1 : 06.4%

    Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandés: team news and absences

    Atlético Tordesillas

    • No reported absences

    Mirandés

    • No reported absences

    Changes are possible before kick-off.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 £
    Net profit0 £
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin7.4%

    Questions and answers

    What do we tip for Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandés?

    Both teams to score (1.95); Mirandés to win (1.71).

    Who will win Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandés?

    We estimate: Atlético Tordesillas win 19%, draw 25%, Mirandés win 56%.

    Where and when is the game being played?

    Date: 27 October 2026, kick-off: 19:00, venue: Estadio Las Salinas.

    Who will be missing?

    Atlético Tordesillas: no absences. Mirandés: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

    Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

    We estimate over 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.90); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 49% (odds 1.94).

    Will both teams score?

    By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 50% (odds 1.95).

    Which correct score is the likeliest?

    We rate 0–1 as most likely (11.8%), then 1–1 (11.2%) and 0–2 (10.3%).

    What are your predictions based on?

    We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

    More predictions

    Badajoz vs Tenerife 10 NovTrival Valderas vs Leganés 10 NovMijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén 10 NovTavernes vs Valencia 10 NovNavalcarnero vs Real Betis 12 Nov

    18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.