Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania (UEFA Nations League, 17 November 2026, 19:45): Romania +0.75 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.91. Second tip: Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.86. The bookmakers' odds give Bosnia & Herzegovina 54%, the draw 26% and Romania 20%. The most likely score is 1–0.
Wins: Romania win, a draw. Half lost (half the stake back): Romania lose by 1. Loses: Romania lose by 2 or more.
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania betting prediction
Bosnia & Herzegovina sit second in this competition with 8 points from four matches, while Romania are fourth on 0 points and still looking for their first. That is a gap of eight points and it is the first thing we would look at. The bookmakers agree with the table: they make the hosts favourites at a 51% chance, with Romania at 22%. Kick-off is 19:45 on 17 November 2026.
At a glance
- Likely result: Bosnia & Herzegovina 1–0 Romania, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Bosnia & Herzegovina 2nd (8 points), Romania 4th (0 points).
- Form in the competition: Bosnia & Herzegovina 2W 2D 0L (6:3), Romania 0W 0D 4L (3:13).
- H2H: 5 matches: Bosnia & Herzegovina 4W 0D 1L, goals 10–7.
- Absences: Bosnia & Herzegovina 0, Romania 0.
Goals scored and goals let in
Bosnia & Herzegovina average 1.5 goals a game in this tournament while letting in just 0.8. Romania, meanwhile, manage only 0.8 scored and 3.3 conceded per outing. Across their four games here, Romania have found the net three times yet shipped thirteen, which makes the bigger issue how many the hosts will concede, not whether they will find the net.
Romania's broader form is just as poor. They dropped all four of their last matches in every competition, scoring 3 and shipping 13, and the 6-0 loss in Poland was the worst of those. A team with that kind of record is unlikely to leave Bosnia with any points.
Who will win Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Bosnia's home form and Romania's collapse
Over their last four games in all competitions, Bosnia & Herzegovina picked up two wins and two draws, scoring six and conceding three. The home results carry the most weight for us: a 1-0 victory against Poland and a 1-1 draw with Sweden. Neither was convincing, yet neither points to a team on the verge of collapsing in front of its own supporters.
Romania lost four times, twice to Sweden, and also to Poland and Bosnia. Their 2-4 home defeat to Bosnia proves they are still capable of finding the net, a bit more than the final score implies, yet it remained a loss and leaves our assessment unchanged.
Standings and form
League B – Group D
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sweden | 4 | 3-1-0 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 2 |  Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4 | 2-2-0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 3 |  Poland | 4 | 1-1-2 | 7:4 | 4 |
| 4 |  Romania | 4 | 0-0-4 | 3:13 | 0 |
Recent matches
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Home and away
What the last five meetings tell us
Bosnia & Herzegovina dominate the recent rivalry: across the last five encounters they have taken four wins to Romania's one, and the goal count stands at 10:7. The latest clash ended 2-4 in Romania on 28/9/26, while the earlier 3-1 home victory on 15/11/25 followed the same pattern. The past alone won't settle this match, yet Romania have seldom been at ease in this fixture.
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania: last matches of both teams
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Romania
Head to head
All matchesNo injury news for either side
Neither side has reported any injuries or suspensions, so the starting eleven should look much as expected. That puts the spotlight on recent results and goal output.
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania: team news and absences
Bosnia & Herzegovina
- No reported absences
Romania
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Bosnia & HerzegovinaWDWDRomaniaLLLLOur tip: Bosnia to win at 1.91
Bosnia & Herzegovina to win is our top pick, priced at 1.91 (51% probability). With a bookmaker margin of 8.5% on the 1X2 market, the value here is slim, yet we still consider the line justified given how strong their home form is against this particular rival.
Here is why we are backing this pick:
- Bosnia & Herzegovina have taken 2 wins from their last 4 matches across all competitions.
- Romania have failed to register a single win in their previous four outings.
- Bosnia & Herzegovina sit on 8 points in the table, whereas Romania are still waiting for their first.
- Bosnia & Herzegovina have taken 4 of their last 5 head-to-head clashes.
Our top pick comes good with 1-0, 2-0 and 2-1, but falls short on 1-1, 0-0 and 0-1. The cluster of draws is the danger here, so heavy stakes would be hard to justify.
Why the under 2.5 is our second angle
We are backing Under 2.5 goals at 1.82 (52% implied chance) for this one. Across their last four fixtures in every competition, Bosnia & Herzegovina went over 2.5 goals just once, and two of those four games ended without them conceding, which is the trend driving this pick.
Under bets cash on 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 0-0 and 0-1, and lose only when the score is 2-1.
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Bets we would skip
We see no value in any other markets for this fixture. The lines on offer simply reflect the bookmakers' own expectations, and based on this data we would stay away from them.
- Over 1.5 goals at 73% chance, best odds 1.25
- Over 2.5 goals at 48% chance, best odds 1.99
- Chance that both sides find the net: 49%, with the top price at 1.85
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.76 | 3.82 | 4.96 |
| Market average | 1.72 | 3.59 | 4.68 |
| Lowest odds | 1.64 | 3.31 | 4.21 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.29 | 72.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.03 | 1.97 | 47.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.86 | 1.81 | 52.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.49 | 26.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.87 | 1.86 | 49.9% |
| BTTS – no | 1.90 | 1.85 | 50.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 13/11/26, 20:14. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.5%.
A narrow home win to finish
Our pick is a 1-0 win for Bosnia & Herzegovina. This score tops the exact-score table at 12.3%. It secures our main tip while the under stays alive. A narrow home success is the result we think is most probable.
Returns calculator
Match events
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania?
Romania +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.91); Under 2.5 goals (1.86).
Who will win Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania?
We estimate: Bosnia & Herzegovina win 54%, draw 26%, Romania win 20%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 17 November 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: to be confirmed.
Who will be missing?
Bosnia & Herzegovina: no absences. Romania: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.03); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 52% (odds 1.86).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 50% (odds 1.87).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–0 as most likely (12.9%), then 1–1 (11.6%) and 2–0 (10.6%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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