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League of Ireland First Division · semi-final · 27 October 2026 · 19:45

Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC: prediction, tip and odds, 27 October 2026, League of Ireland First Division

3–0
1Bray Wanderers1.93
XDraw3.80
2Kerry FC3.73

Best price · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

It is Bray Wanderers against Kerry FC on 27 October 2026 · 19:45 at Carlisle Grounds (Bray). Bray Wanderers (48%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.

Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC: tip and prediction
Handicap
Kerry FC +0.5 (Asian handicap)
1.92
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.52
50%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Bray Wanderers or draw (1X): 74% probability, best odds 1.30.

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Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Bray Wanderers are 3rd in the table, on 54 points after 36 matches (15W 9D 12L), and Kerry FC are 4th, on 52 points (14W 10D 12L).
  2. Attack and defence. On average Bray Wanderers score 1.9 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.5; for Kerry FC the figures are 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Bray Wanderers: 16W 9D 12L, goals 69–54; Kerry FC: 14W 10D 13L, goals 46–43.
  4. Head to head. From 18 meetings: 14 wins for Bray Wanderers, 2 wins for Kerry FC and 2 draws, with the goals at 42–22.

What to expect

For us, Bray Wanderers are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.52), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 60% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 58% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 18; Bray Wanderers 14 wins, 2 draws, Kerry FC 2 wins.
  2. An average of 3.6 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Bray Wanderers 69–54, Kerry FC 46–43.
  4. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 58%.
  5. Out: Bray Wanderers 0, Kerry FC 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 60%, best price 1.57). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Bray Wanderers: no absences. Absent for Kerry FC: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price1.933.803.73
Market average1.883.603.43
Lowest odds1.753.253.06
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1678.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.641.5958.0%
Under 2.5 goals2.272.1942.0%
Over 3.5 goals2.562.3938.1%
BTTS – yes1.571.5260.0%
BTTS – no2.402.2840.0%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 10.4%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Bray Wanderers 1–1 Kerry FC, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Bray Wanderers 3rd (54 points), Kerry FC 4th (52 points).
  • Form in the competition: Bray Wanderers 16W 9D 12L (69:54), Kerry FC 14W 10D 13L (46:43).
  • H2H: 18 matches: Bray Wanderers 14W 2D 2L, goals 42–22.
  • Absences: Bray Wanderers 0, Kerry FC 0.

Who will win Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC?

Bray Wanderers48%
Draw25%
Kerry FC26%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals78.5% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.20
Likely
Bray Wanderers or draw (1X)73.5% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.30
Likely
Under 3.5 goals61.9% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.52
Likely
BTTS – yes60.0% · fair odds 1.67 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 2.5 goals58.0% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.64
Possible
Bray Wanderers to win48.3% · fair odds 2.07 · best 1.93
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals42.0% · fair odds 2.38 · best 2.27
Outsider
BTTS – no40.0% · fair odds 2.50 · best 2.40
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals38.1% · fair odds 2.63 · best 2.56
Outsider
Kerry FC to win26.5% · fair odds 3.78 · best 3.73
Outsider
Draw25.2% · fair odds 3.97 · best 3.80
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.92 · Under 1.81
probability of over 48.5%

Correct score prediction

1 : 110.9%
2 : 19.5%
1 : 08.7%
2 : 07.6%
1 : 26.8%
0 : 16.2%

Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC: team news and absences

Bray Wanderers

  • No reported absences

Kerry FC

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Cork City3623-6-774:3575
2UCD3616-8-1267:5156
3Bray Wanderers3615-9-1267:5354
4Kerry FC3614-10-1245:4152
5Longford Town3614-10-1249:4652
6Cobh Ramblers3614-7-1546:5449
7Athlone Town3613-9-1442:4348
8Wexford3611-9-1644:5842
9Treaty United3611-9-1637:5342
10Finn Harps367-7-2233:7028

Recent matches

Bray Wanderers

1 NovLBray Wanderers 1–3 UCD
27 OctWBray Wanderers 3–0 Kerry FC
24 OctWKerry FC 1–2 Bray Wanderers
16 OctLFinn Harps 2–0 Bray Wanderers
9 OctDBray Wanderers 2–2 Wexford

Kerry FC

27 OctLBray Wanderers 3–0 Kerry FC
24 OctLKerry FC 1–2 Bray Wanderers
16 OctDKerry FC 1–1 Cork City
9 OctWCobh Ramblers 0–2 Kerry FC
2 OctWFinn Harps 1–2 Kerry FC

Home and away

Bray Wanderers at home18 matches: 10W 6D 2L, goals 44–23
Kerry FC away18 matches: 5W 4D 9L, goals 21–26

Team comparison

Bray WanderersKerry FC
41%Form59%
53%Attack47%
29%Defence71%
71%Head to head29%
47%Goals53%
50.8%Overall49.2%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

Bray WanderersLWWLD
Kerry FCLLDWW

Head to head

All matches
14Bray Wanderers
2Draws
2Kerry FC
27/10/26 · Bray Wanderers 3–0 Kerry FC
24/10/26 · Kerry FC 1–2 Bray Wanderers
11/9/26 · Kerry FC 0–1 Bray Wanderers
31/7/26 · Bray Wanderers 0–4 Kerry FC
22/5/26 · Kerry FC 2–2 Bray Wanderers
27/3/26 · Bray Wanderers 2–1 Kerry FC

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin10.4%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC?

Kerry FC +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.92); Under 3.5 goals (1.52).

Who will win Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC?

We estimate: Bray Wanderers win 48%, draw 25%, Kerry FC win 26%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 27 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Carlisle Grounds, Bray.

Who will be missing?

Bray Wanderers: no absences. Kerry FC: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.64); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 42% (odds 2.27).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 60% (odds 1.57).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.9%), then 2–1 (9.5%) and 1–0 (8.7%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.