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League of Ireland First Division · semi-final · 24 October 2026 · 19:45

Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers: prediction, tip and odds, 24 October 2026, League of Ireland First Division

1–2
1Kerry FC3.02
XDraw3.61
2Bray Wanderers2.58

Best price · Updated 24/10/26, 18:00

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisH2HFAQ

Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Kerry FC play Bray Wanderers at home on 24 October 2026 · 19:45 at Mounthawk Park (Tralee). For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.

Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers: tip and prediction
Handicap
Bray Wanderers +0.25 (Asian handicap)
1.78
Goals
Both teams to score
1.65
60%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Kerry FC are 4th in the table, on 52 points after 36 matches (14W 10D 12L), and Bray Wanderers are 3rd, on 54 points (15W 9D 12L).
  2. Head to head. From 18 meetings: 2 wins for Kerry FC, 14 wins for Bray Wanderers and 2 draws, with the goals at 22–42.

What to expect

We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (11.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.65), and we rate it at 57%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 57% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 53% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 18; Kerry FC 2 wins, 2 draws, Bray Wanderers 14 wins.
  2. An average of 3.6 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 53%.
  4. Out: Kerry FC 0, Bray Wanderers 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 57%, best price 1.65). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Kerry FC: no absences. Absent for Bray Wanderers: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price3.023.612.58
Market average2.723.362.30
Lowest odds2.163.002.15
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.251.2175.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.781.7353.2%
Under 2.5 goals2.051.9746.8%
Over 3.5 goals2.882.7533.1%
BTTS – yes1.651.5957.2%
BTTS – no2.202.1342.8%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 10.7%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Kerry FC 1–1 Bray Wanderers, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Kerry FC 4th (52 points), Bray Wanderers 3rd (54 points).
  • H2H: 18 matches: Kerry FC 2W 2D 14L, goals 22–42.
  • Absences: Kerry FC 0, Bray Wanderers 0.

Who will win Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers?

Kerry FC34%
Draw27%
Bray Wanderers39%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals75.3% · fair odds 1.33 · best 1.25
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.9% · fair odds 1.49 · best 1.42
Likely
Draw or Bray Wanderers (X2)66.5% · fair odds 1.50 · best 1.49
Likely
BTTS – yes57.2% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.65
Possible
Over 2.5 goals53.2% · fair odds 1.88 · best 1.78
Possible
Under 2.5 goals46.8% · fair odds 2.14 · best 2.05
Outsider
BTTS – no42.8% · fair odds 2.34 · best 2.20
Outsider
Bray Wanderers to win39.4% · fair odds 2.54 · best 2.58
Outsider
Kerry FC to win33.5% · fair odds 2.98 · best 3.02
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals33.1% · fair odds 3.02 · best 2.88
Outsider
Draw27.0% · fair odds 3.70 · best 3.61
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.04 · Under 1.70
probability of over 45.5%

Correct score prediction

1 : 111.9%
0 : 18.8%
1 : 28.6%
1 : 08.2%
2 : 18.0%
0 : 26.4%

Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers: team news and absences

Kerry FC

  • No reported absences

Bray Wanderers

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Cork City3623-6-774:3575
2UCD3616-8-1267:5156
3Bray Wanderers3615-9-1267:5354
4Kerry FC3614-10-1245:4152
5Longford Town3614-10-1249:4652
6Cobh Ramblers3614-7-1546:5449
7Athlone Town3613-9-1442:4348
8Wexford3611-9-1644:5842
9Treaty United3611-9-1637:5342
10Finn Harps367-7-2233:7028

Recent matches

Kerry FC

27 OctLBray Wanderers 3–0 Kerry FC
24 OctLKerry FC 1–2 Bray Wanderers
16 OctDKerry FC 1–1 Cork City
9 OctWCobh Ramblers 0–2 Kerry FC
2 OctWFinn Harps 1–2 Kerry FC

Bray Wanderers

1 NovLBray Wanderers 1–3 UCD
27 OctWBray Wanderers 3–0 Kerry FC
24 OctWKerry FC 1–2 Bray Wanderers
16 OctLFinn Harps 2–0 Bray Wanderers
9 OctDBray Wanderers 2–2 Wexford

Home and away

Kerry FC at home18 matches: 9W 6D 3L, goals 24–15
Bray Wanderers away18 matches: 5W 3D 10L, goals 23–30

Head to head

All matches
2Kerry FC
2Draws
14Bray Wanderers
27/10/26 · Bray Wanderers 3–0 Kerry FC
24/10/26 · Kerry FC 1–2 Bray Wanderers
11/9/26 · Kerry FC 0–1 Bray Wanderers
31/7/26 · Bray Wanderers 0–4 Kerry FC
22/5/26 · Kerry FC 2–2 Bray Wanderers
27/3/26 · Bray Wanderers 2–1 Kerry FC

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin10.7%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers?

Bray Wanderers +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.78); Both teams to score (1.65).

Who will win Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers?

We estimate: Kerry FC win 34%, draw 27%, Bray Wanderers win 39%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Mounthawk Park, Tralee.

Who will be missing?

Kerry FC: no absences. Bray Wanderers: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.78); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 47% (odds 2.05).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 57% (odds 1.65).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.9%), then 0–1 (8.8%) and 1–2 (8.6%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.