Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Bristol Rovers play Swindon Town at home on 24 October 2026 · 12:30 at Memorial Stadium (Bristol); the referee is S. Stockbridge. For us, Bristol Rovers (56%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Bristol Rovers are 17th in the table, on 16 points after 14 matches (5W 1D 8L), and Swindon Town are 13th, on 19 points (5W 4D 5L).
- Head to head. From 15 meetings: 4 wins for Bristol Rovers, 6 wins for Swindon Town and 5 draws, with the goals at 13–20.
What to expect
For us, Bristol Rovers are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.4%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.48), and we rate it at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 57% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 57% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 15; Bristol Rovers 4 wins, 5 draws, Swindon Town 6 wins.
- An average of 2.2 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 57%.
- Out: Bristol Rovers 0, Swindon Town 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals (probability 57%, best price 1.67). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Bristol Rovers: no absences. Absent for Swindon Town: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.71 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| Market average | 1.66 | 3.94 | 4.73 |
| Lowest odds | 1.62 | 3.75 | 4.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.18 | 78.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.64 | 57.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.20 | 42.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.67 | 2.56 | 36.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.63 | 56.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.15 | 43.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 10:04. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.8%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Bristol Rovers 1–1 Swindon Town, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Bristol Rovers 17th (16 points), Swindon Town 13th (19 points).
- H2H: 15 matches: Bristol Rovers 4W 5D 6L, goals 13–20.
- Absences: Bristol Rovers 0, Swindon Town 0.
Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town: team news and absences
Bristol Rovers
- No reported absences
Swindon Town
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town?
Bristol Rovers -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.71); Under 3.5 goals (1.48).
Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town?
We estimate: Bristol Rovers win 56%, draw 24%, Swindon Town win 20%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 12:30, venue: Memorial Stadium, Bristol. Referee: S. Stockbridge.
Who will be missing?
Bristol Rovers: no absences. Swindon Town: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.67); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 43% (odds 2.30).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 57% (odds 1.67).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.4%), then 1–0 (9.9%) and 2–1 (9.9%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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