Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Barnet play Swindon Town at home on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at The Hive Stadium (London); the referee is B. Atkinson. For us, Barnet (64%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Barnet vs Swindon Town: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Barnet are 2nd in the table, on 26 points after 13 matches (7W 5D 1L), and Swindon Town are 13th, on 19 points (5W 4D 5L).
What to expect
For us, Barnet are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–1 (9.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.52), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 58% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 63% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 63%.
- Out: Barnet 0, Swindon Town 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 58%, best price 1.62). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Barnet: no absences. Absent for Swindon Town: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Barnet vs Swindon Town: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.50 | 4.92 | 6.50 |
| Market average | 1.46 | 4.55 | 5.85 |
| Lowest odds | 1.44 | 4.19 | 5.13 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.13 | 82.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.52 | 1.47 | 63.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.67 | 2.51 | 36.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.25 | 2.20 | 42.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.59 | 58.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.23 | 41.7% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 20/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.8%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Barnet 2–1 Swindon Town, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Barnet 2nd (26 points), Swindon Town 13th (19 points).
- Absences: Barnet 0, Swindon Town 0.
Who will win Barnet vs Swindon Town?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Barnet vs Swindon Town: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Barnet vs Swindon Town: team news and absences
Barnet
- No reported absences
Swindon Town
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Barnet vs Swindon Town?
Barnet -1 (Asian handicap) (1.79); Over 2.5 goals (1.52).
Who will win Barnet vs Swindon Town?
We estimate: Barnet win 64%, draw 20%, Swindon Town win 16%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 20 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: The Hive Stadium, London. Referee: B. Atkinson.
Who will be missing?
Barnet: no absences. Swindon Town: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 63% (odds 1.52); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 37% (odds 2.67).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 58% (odds 1.62).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (9.9%), then 2–0 (9.4%) and 1–1 (9.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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