Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Castellonense play Almería at home on 27 October 2026 · 18:45 at Estadio Municipal de Castalia. For us, Almería (65%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Castellonense vs Almería: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
What to expect
For us, Almería are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 0–2 (12.2%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.76), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 49% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 54% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 54%.
- Out: Castellonense 0, Almería 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – no
Alternative tip: BTTS – no (probability 51%, best price 1.91). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Castellonense: no absences. Absent for Almería: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Castellonense vs Almería: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 7.22 | 4.60 | 1.49 |
| Market average | 6.73 | 4.29 | 1.43 |
| Lowest odds | 6.09 | 4.00 | 1.36 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.21 | 75.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.74 | 53.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.08 | 2.02 | 46.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.89 | 2.76 | 33.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.89 | 49.1% |
| BTTS – no | 1.91 | 1.83 | 50.9% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.4%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Castellonense 0–2 Almería, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Absences: Castellonense 0, Almería 0.
Who will win Castellonense vs Almería?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Castellonense vs Almería: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Castellonense vs Almería: team news and absences
Castellonense
- No reported absences
Almería
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Castellonense vs Almería?
Almería -1 (Asian handicap) (1.80); Over 2.5 goals (1.76).
Who will win Castellonense vs Almería?
We estimate: Castellonense win 14%, draw 22%, Almería win 65%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 27 October 2026, kick-off: 18:45, venue: Estadio Municipal de Castalia.
Who will be missing?
Castellonense: no absences. Almería: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.76); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 46% (odds 2.08).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 49% (odds 1.91).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 0–2 as most likely (12.2%), then 0–1 (12.2%) and 1–2 (9.7%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.