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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 27 October 2026 · 19:00

Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda: prediction, tip and odds, 27 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Ciudad de Lucena
0–1
Rayo Majadahonda
1Ciudad de Lucena3.40
XDraw3.70
2Rayo Majadahonda2.10

Best price · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Ciudad de Lucena v Rayo Majadahonda: 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at Nuevo Estadio Municipal. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda: tip and prediction
Result
Ciudad de Lucena or draw (1X)
1.75
Goals
Both teams to score
1.72
55%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Head to head. From 1 meetings: 0 wins for Ciudad de Lucena, 1 win for Rayo Majadahonda and 0 draws, with the goals at 0–1.

What to expect

For us, Rayo Majadahonda are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (12.2%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.

In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.72), and we rate it at 55%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 55% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 50% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 1; Ciudad de Lucena 0 wins, 0 draws, Rayo Majadahonda 1 win.
  2. An average of 1.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 50%.
  4. Out: Ciudad de Lucena 0, Rayo Majadahonda 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 55%, best price 1.72). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Ciudad de Lucena: no absences. Absent for Rayo Majadahonda: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price3.403.702.10
Market average3.253.522.07
Lowest odds3.153.302.05
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.291.2672.9%
Over 2.5 goals1.871.8550.5%
Under 2.5 goals1.951.8849.5%
Over 3.5 goals3.253.0630.0%
BTTS – yes1.721.7054.5%
BTTS – no2.152.0445.5%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.5%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Ciudad de Lucena 1–1 Rayo Majadahonda, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 1 match: Ciudad de Lucena 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–1.
  • Absences: Ciudad de Lucena 0, Rayo Majadahonda 0.

Who will win Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda?

Ciudad de Lucena29%
Draw26%
Rayo Majadahonda45%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals72.9% · fair odds 1.37 · best 1.29
Likely
Draw or Rayo Majadahonda (X2)71.4% · fair odds 1.40 · best 1.36
Likely
Under 3.5 goals70.0% · fair odds 1.43 · best 1.34
Likely
BTTS – yes54.5% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.72
Possible
Over 2.5 goals50.5% · fair odds 1.98 · best 1.87
Possible
Under 2.5 goals49.5% · fair odds 2.02 · best 1.95
Outsider
BTTS – no45.5% · fair odds 2.20 · best 2.15
Outsider
Rayo Majadahonda to win44.9% · fair odds 2.23 · best 2.10
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals30.0% · fair odds 3.33 · best 3.25
Outsider
Ciudad de Lucena to win28.6% · fair odds 3.49 · best 3.40
Outsider
Draw26.5% · fair odds 3.78 · best 3.70
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.86 · Under 1.86
probability of over 50.0%

Correct score prediction

1 : 112.2%
0 : 110.6%
1 : 29.1%
1 : 08.1%
0 : 27.9%
0 : 07.1%

Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda: team news and absences

Ciudad de Lucena

  • No reported absences

Rayo Majadahonda

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Head to head

0Ciudad de Lucena
0Draws
1Rayo Majadahonda
27/10/26 · Ciudad de Lucena 0–1 Rayo Majadahonda

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.5%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda?

Ciudad de Lucena or draw (1X) (1.75); Both teams to score (1.72).

Who will win Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda?

We estimate: Ciudad de Lucena win 29%, draw 26%, Rayo Majadahonda win 45%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 27 October 2026, kick-off: 19:00, venue: Nuevo Estadio Municipal.

Who will be missing?

Ciudad de Lucena: no absences. Rayo Majadahonda: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 1.87); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 50% (odds 1.95).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 55% (odds 1.72).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.2%), then 0–1 (10.6%) and 1–2 (9.1%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

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18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.