Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Montpellier against RED Star FC 93 on 26 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stade de la Mosson (Montpellier), and Pierre Gaillouste will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Montpellier are 2nd in the table, on 24 points after 11 matches (7W 3D 1L), and RED Star FC 93 are 6th, on 17 points (5W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. On average Montpellier score 1.2 goals a match in the competition and concede 0.6; for RED Star FC 93 the figures are 1.3 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Montpellier: 5W 3D 1L, goals 11–5; RED Star FC 93: 5W 2D 2L, goals 12–10.
- Head to head. From 3 meetings: 1 win for Montpellier, 0 wins for RED Star FC 93 and 2 draws, with the goals at 4–3.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–1 score estimate, roughly 3 goals in all, and 1–1 (11.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and we rate it at 58%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 58% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 53% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 3; Montpellier 1 win, 2 draws, RED Star FC 93 0 wins.
- An average of 2.3 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Montpellier 11–5, RED Star FC 93 12–10.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 53%.
- Out: Montpellier 0, RED Star FC 93 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 58%, best price 1.67). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Montpellier: no absences. Absent for RED Star FC 93: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.38 | 3.50 | 3.15 |
| Market average | 2.27 | 3.37 | 2.93 |
| Lowest odds | 2.15 | 3.17 | 2.70 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.22 | 76.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.84 | 1.78 | 53.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.06 | 2.01 | 47.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.87 | 32.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.61 | 57.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.28 | 2.19 | 42.3% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 26/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.9%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Montpellier 1–1 RED Star FC 93, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Montpellier 2nd (24 points), RED Star FC 93 6th (17 points).
- Form in the competition: Montpellier 5W 3D 1L (11:5), RED Star FC 93 5W 2D 2L (12:10).
- H2H: 3 matches: Montpellier 1W 2D 0L, goals 4–3.
- Absences: Montpellier 0, RED Star FC 93 0.
Who will win Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93: team news and absences
Montpellier
- No reported absences
RED Star FC 93
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saint-Étienne | 11 | 8-1-2 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 2 | Montpellier | 11 | 7-3-1 | 16:6 | 24 |
| 3 |  Nancy | 11 | 7-1-3 | 16:9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Reims | 11 | 5-6-0 | 22:12 | 21 |
| 5 |  PAU | 11 | 6-2-3 | 16:11 | 20 |
| 6 | RED Star FC 93 | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:16 | 17 |
| 7 |  Annecy | 11 | 5-1-5 | 14:15 | 16 |
| 8 |  Dijon | 11 | 4-3-4 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 9 |  Guingamp | 11 | 4-2-5 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 10 |  Metz | 11 | 3-5-3 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 11 |  Rodez | 11 | 4-1-6 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 12 |  Dunkerque | 11 | 3-3-5 | 14:17 | 12 |
| 13 |  Sochaux | 11 | 2-5-4 | 8:14 | 11 |
| 14 |  Boulogne | 11 | 1-7-3 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 15 |  Nantes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 16 |  Laval | 11 | 2-3-6 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 17 |  Clermont Foot | 11 | 0-8-3 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 18 |  Grenoble | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:20 | 8 |
Recent matches
Montpellier
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
MontpellierWWWWDRED Star FC 93LLLWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93?
RED Star FC 93 +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.89); Both teams to score (1.67).
Who will win Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93?
We estimate: Montpellier win 41%, draw 28%, RED Star FC 93 win 32%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 26 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier. Referee: Pierre Gaillouste.
Who will be missing?
Montpellier: no absences. RED Star FC 93: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.84); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 47% (odds 2.06).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 58% (odds 1.67).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.9%), then 1–0 (9.1%) and 2–1 (8.9%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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