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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 27 October 2026 · 19:30

Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924: prediction, tip and odds, 27 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Don Benito
2–4
Extremadura 1924
1Don Benito3.90
XDraw3.80
2Extremadura 19241.96

Best price · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 2–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

It is Don Benito against Extremadura 1924 on 27 October 2026 · 19:30 at Estadio Vicente Sanz (Don Benito). Extremadura 1924 (49%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.

Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924: tip and prediction
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.90
Result
Extremadura 1924 to win
1.96
51%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Extremadura 1924 (X2): 75% probability, best odds 1.29.

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Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

    What to expect

    For us, Extremadura 1924 are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.8%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.

    In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.75), and we rate it at 55%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 55% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 51% chance.

    Prediction summary

    1. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 51%.
    2. Out: Don Benito 0, Extremadura 1924 0.

    Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

    Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 55%, best price 1.75). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

    Absences

    Absent for Don Benito: no absences. Absent for Extremadura 1924: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

    Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924: compare the odds

    Match result1X2
    Best price3.903.801.96
    Market average3.753.521.91
    Lowest odds3.603.401.87
    GoalsBestAverageChance
    Over 1.5 goals1.281.2474.3%
    Over 2.5 goals1.901.8351.3%
    Under 2.5 goals1.951.9248.7%
    Over 3.5 goals3.002.9231.6%
    BTTS – yes1.751.7054.6%
    BTTS – no2.152.0445.4%

    Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.6%.

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    At a glance

    • Likely result: Don Benito 1–1 Extremadura 1924, roughly 3 goals in total.
    • Absences: Don Benito 0, Extremadura 1924 0.

    Who will win Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924?

    Don Benito25%
    Draw26%
    Extremadura 192449%

    Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

    Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924: more betting tips

    Draw or Extremadura 1924 (X2)75.2% · fair odds 1.33 · best 1.29
    Likely
    Over 1.5 goals74.3% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.28
    Likely
    Under 3.5 goals68.4% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.40
    Likely
    BTTS – yes54.6% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.75
    Possible
    Over 2.5 goals51.3% · fair odds 1.95 · best 1.90
    Possible
    Extremadura 1924 to win48.8% · fair odds 2.05 · best 1.96
    Outsider
    Under 2.5 goals48.7% · fair odds 2.05 · best 1.95
    Outsider
    BTTS – no45.4% · fair odds 2.20 · best 2.15
    Outsider
    Over 3.5 goals31.6% · fair odds 3.16 · best 3.00
    Outsider
    Draw26.4% · fair odds 3.78 · best 3.80
    Outsider
    Don Benito to win24.8% · fair odds 4.03 · best 3.90
    Outsider

    Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

    Tips on corners and cards

    Cornersline 8.5 corners
    Over 1.86 · Under 1.86
    probability of over 50.0%

    Correct score prediction

    1 : 111.8%
    0 : 110.8%
    1 : 29.5%
    0 : 28.6%
    1 : 07.4%
    0 : 06.7%

    Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924: team news and absences

    Don Benito

    • No reported absences

    Extremadura 1924

    • No reported absences

    Changes are possible before kick-off.

    Team comparison

    Don BenitoExtremadura 1924
    0%Head to head100%
    0%Goals100%

    Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 £
    Net profit0 £
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin7.6%

    Questions and answers

    What do we tip for Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924?

    Over 2.5 goals (1.90); Extremadura 1924 to win (1.96).

    Who will win Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924?

    We estimate: Don Benito win 25%, draw 26%, Extremadura 1924 win 49%.

    Where and when is the game being played?

    Date: 27 October 2026, kick-off: 19:30, venue: Estadio Vicente Sanz, Don Benito.

    Who will be missing?

    Don Benito: no absences. Extremadura 1924: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

    Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

    We estimate over 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.90); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 49% (odds 1.95).

    Will both teams score?

    By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 55% (odds 1.75).

    Which correct score is the likeliest?

    We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.8%), then 0–1 (10.8%) and 1–2 (9.5%).

    What are your predictions based on?

    We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

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    18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.