Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Eibar v Almería: 31 October 2026 · 15:15 at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar), with D. Miranda refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Eibar vs Almería: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Eibar are 3rd in the table, on 23 points after 12 matches (7W 2D 3L), and Almería are 2nd, on 26 points (8W 2D 2L).
- Attack and defence. On average Eibar score 1.8 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.2; for Almería the figures are 2.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Eibar: 7W 1D 3L, goals 20–13; Almería: 8W 1D 2L, goals 22–9.
- Head to head. From 9 meetings: 5 wins for Eibar, 2 wins for Almería and 2 draws, with the goals at 14–10.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–1 score estimate, roughly 3 goals in all, and 1–1 (11.4%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 62% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 58% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 9; Eibar 5 wins, 2 draws, Almería 2 wins.
- An average of 2.7 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Eibar 20–13, Almería 22–9.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 58%.
- Out: Eibar 0, Almería 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 62%, best price 1.53). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Eibar: no absences. Absent for Almería: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Eibar vs Almería: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.54 | 3.65 | 2.88 |
| Market average | 2.43 | 3.48 | 2.67 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.18 | 79.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.65 | 57.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.23 | 42.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.67 | 2.52 | 37.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.50 | 61.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.43 | 38.3% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 13:56. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Eibar 1–1 Almería, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Eibar 3rd (23 points), Almería 2nd (26 points).
- Form in the competition: Eibar 7W 1D 3L (20:13), Almería 8W 1D 2L (22:9).
- H2H: 9 matches: Eibar 5W 2D 2L, goals 14–10.
- Absences: Eibar 0, Almería 0.
Who will win Eibar vs Almería?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Eibar vs Almería: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Eibar vs Almería: team news and absences
Eibar
- No reported absences
Almería
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 | Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 | Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 |  Valladolid | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Cádiz | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 20 |  FC Andorra | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Eibar
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
EibarDLDLWAlmeríaDDWWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Eibar vs Almería?
Over 2.5 goals (1.80); Eibar or draw (1X) (1.48).
Who will win Eibar vs Almería?
We estimate: Eibar win 38%, draw 27%, Almería win 35%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 15:15, venue: Estadio Municipal de Ipurua, Eibar. Referee: D. Miranda.
Who will be missing?
Eibar: no absences. Almería: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.80); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 42% (odds 2.35).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 62% (odds 1.53).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.4%), then 2–1 (8.5%) and 1–2 (8.3%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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